New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction 9/27/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

The New England Patriots and the Jacksonville Jaguars meet in week 3 NFL action from EverBank Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars prediction.

New England Patriots Recap

The New England Patriots come into this game looking to add on to their 20-3 win over Pittsburgh last time out to improve to 1-1 on the year. After this game, the Patriots will head on the road for a game against the Buffalo Bills.

Patriots Looking To Keep Momentum Alive On The Road

Drake Maye has thrown for 386 yards, 1 touchdown and 4 interceptions on 67.3% passing while Rhamondre Stevenson leads New England in rushing with 94 rushing yards and 0 touchdowns so far this season. TreVeyon Henderson sits behind Stevenson on the ground with 76 yards and 1 TD. Romeo Doubs leads the Patriots in receiving with 96 yards on 3 catches, while Mack Hollins trails with 69 yards on 6 catches. On defense, Christian Elliss has a team-high 16 total tackles, while Elliss, Elijah Ponder, Gabe Jacas, Dre’Mont Jones, Jaylen Reed, and Cameron Latu each lead the unit with 1 sack. Gabe Jacas recorded the team’s lone interception. New England’s defense as a whole has combined for 6 sacks and 1 interception so far this season.

Jacksonville Jaguars Recap

The Jacksonville Jaguars come into this game looking to bounce back from a 20-13 loss at the hands of Denver last time out to sit at 1-1 this season. After this game, Jacksonville will head on the road for a game against the Cincinnati Bengals.

Jaguars Looking To Bounce Back From First L Of Season

Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 434 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception on 67.3% passing while Bhayshul Tuten leads Jacksonville in rushing with 131 rushing yards and 1 touchdown so far this season. Ameer Abdullah sits behind Tuten on the ground with 43 yards and 0 TDs. Parker Washington leads the Jaguars in receiving with 181 yards on 12 catches along with 1 touchdown, while Brian Thomas Jr. trails with 80 yards on 6 catches. On defense, Ventrell Miller has a team-high 17 total tackles. Josh Hines-Allen and Travon Walker each lead the unit with 1.5 sacks, while Foyesade Oluokun and Jourdan Lewis have recorded 1 interception apiece. Jacksonville’s defense as a whole has combined for 5 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season.

New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Trends: Week 3

Why the Jacksonville Jaguars will win

• The favorites have won each of the Patriots’ last eight games.
• The Patriots have lost each of their last six games as underdogs against AFC South opponents.
• The Jaguars have covered the spread in each of their last seven games at EverBank Stadium following a loss.
• The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 12 September games as underdogs.
• The Jaguars have won the first half in each of their last six games in September.
• The Patriots have lost the first quarter in five of their last six Week 3 games.
• The Jaguars have scored the first touchdown in 10 of their last 11 Sunday games at EverBank Stadium.

Why the New England Patriots will win

• The Patriots have won each of their last nine Sunday road games.
• The Jaguars have lost each of their last four games without Josh Hines-Allen.
• The Patriots have covered the spread in each of their last six games played on the East Coast.
• The Jaguars have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games without Brenton Strange.
• The Patriots have won the first half in seven of their last eight games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
• The Jaguars have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games as favorites against AFC East opponents.
• The Patriots have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games played on the East Coast.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Patriots’ last seven games as underdogs without Rhamondre Stevenson have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Jaguars’ last six home games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of the last five Sunday games at EverBank Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts

• Brian Thomas has scored the first touchdown in each of the Jaguars’ last three games against AFC East opponents.
• Brian Thomas has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Jaguars’ last four games against AFC East opponents.
• Trevor Lawrence has recorded 21+ completions in four of the Jaguars’ last five Week 3 games.
• Chris Rodriguez has recorded 23+ rushing yards in each of his last five appearances following a loss.
• Trevor Lawrence has recorded 229+ passing yards in each of the Jaguars’ last six regular season games as favorites.
• Brian Thomas has recorded 40+ receiving yards in each of the Jaguars’ last eight September games against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 3, Trevor Lawrence has recorded the equal-most passing touchdowns in a single game this season (4 vs Browns, Week 1).

New England Patriots Player Prop Facts

• Rhamondre Stevenson has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Patriots’ last five regular season road games against AFC opponents.
• Drake Maye has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Patriots’ last three games as underdogs.
• Mack Hollins has recorded 41+ receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last five games as underdogs.
• Drake Maye has recorded 230+ passing yards in each of the Patriots’ last five Sunday games as road underdogs.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 43+ rushing yards in each of the Patriots’ last eight games against AFC opponents.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 63+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last eight games following a win.
• Heading into Week 3, Drake Maye has thrown the most interceptions in a single game this season (3 vs Seahawks, Week 1).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 3, the Jaguars rank T1st in the NFL in H1 opponent points per game (1.5) this season.
• Heading into Week 3, the Jaguars rank T1st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage (100.0) this season.
• Patriots – six different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 3.
• Heading into Week 3, the Patriots rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (8.0) this season.

New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction

I’m on the Jaguars here. I think that I need to see something consistent from New England going forward to think that they could be the same team that made it to the Super Bowl last year and Jacksonville on the other hand, is also better than what they showed last week against Kansas City. I’m looking for a big day from the Jaguars in this one so give me Jacksonville here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Jacksonville -3