Lions vs Dolphins Prediction 11/8/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

The Detroit Lions and the Miami Dolphins meet in week 9 NFL action from Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. 

Detroit Lions vs. Miami Dolphins Prediction

I’m on Detroit in this one. The major way to hurt this Detroit defense is to pass into the secondary, but this Miami offense doesn’t have the capable QB play to air it out and take advantage of Detroit’s defensive weakness. I think Detroit’s offense will be far too much for Miami to try to keep pace with and I think the Lions get the cover with a win by a touchdown in this one. Give me Detroit.

Detroit Lions Recap

The Detroit Lions come into this game looking to add on to their 19-15 win over Minnesota last time out to sit at 5-2 this season. After this game, Detroit will head home for a game against the New England Patriots. Jared Goff has thrown for 1,964 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 1 interception while completing 67.7% of his passes to lead the Detroit Lions passing attack, backed by 168 completions on 248 attempts through seven games played. The Lions’ ground game is spearheaded by Jahmyr Gibbs, who rushes for 773 yards and 8 touchdowns on 157 carries, followed closely by Sione Vaki with 121 yards on 27 carries, Jared Goff adding 15 rushing yards and 1 touchdown on 15 attempts, and Amon-Ra St. Brown chipping in 9 yards on 2 carries. Through the air, Amon-Ra St. Brown leads the receiving corps with 571 yards and 5 touchdowns on 53 catches, while Jameson Williams adds 437 yards and 5 scores on 27 receptions, Sam LaPorta logs 367 yards and 3 scores on 31 receptions, Jahmyr Gibbs adds 285 yards and 2 scores on 34 receptions, and Isaac TeSlaa rounds out key targets with 197 yards on 10 catches. Defensively, Jack Campbell anchors the Detroit squad by logging a team-high 57 total tackles over seven games. Altogether, the Lions’ defensive unit has successfully combined to bring down opposing quarterbacks for 24 sacks, 155 yards lost, and 33 pass deflections while also coming away with 5 total interceptions.

Why the Detroit Lions will win

• The Lions have won each of their last eight games in Florida.
• The Dolphins have lost eight of their last nine games against NFC North opponents on a winning streak.
• The Lions have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games without Jameson Williams.
• The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against NFC North opponents.
• The Lions have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last nine Sunday day games as road favorites.
• The Dolphins have lost the first half in each of their last six games as underdogs against NFC North opponents.
• The Dolphins have lost the first quarter in seven of their last eight November games against NFC North opponents.

Miami Dolphins Recap

The Miami Dolphins come into this game looking to shake off a 24-19 loss at the hands of New England last time out to fall to 1-6 this season. After this game, Miami will head on the road for a game against the Indianapolis Colts. Malik Willis has thrown for 1,268 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions while completing 59.0% of his passes to lead the Miami passing attack, backed by 108 completions on 183 attempts through seven games played. The Dolphins’ ground game is spearheaded by Ollie Gordon II, who rushes for 408 yards and 4 touchdowns on 91 carries, followed closely by Malik Willis with 225 yards and 3 scores on 36 carries, De’Von Achane adding 127 rushing yards on 34 attempts, and Jaylen Wright chipping in 41 yards on 22 carries. Through the air, Malik Washington leads the receiving corps with 329 yards and 1 touchdown on 31 catches, while Greg Dulcich adds 256 yards on 22 receptions, Caleb Douglas logs 226 yards and 2 scores on 13 catches, Chris Bell adds 148 yards on 12 receptions, and Ryan Miller rounds out key targets with 92 yards and 1 score on 3 catches. Defensively, Jacob Rodriguez anchors the Miami squad by logging a team-high 69 total tackles over seven games. Altogether, the Dolphins’ defensive unit has successfully combined to bring down opposing quarterbacks for 9 sacks, 69 yards lost, and 12 pass deflections while also coming away with 4 total interceptions.

Why the Miami Dolphins will win

• The Dolphins have won 12 of their last 13 November games at Hard Rock Stadium.
• The Lions have lost eight of their last nine November games against AFC East opponents.
• The Dolphins have covered the spread in each of their last six games at Hard Rock Stadium following a Division game.
• The Lions have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games following a win.
• The Dolphins have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five Week 9 day games.
• The Dolphins have won the first half in each of their last 13 November games at Hard Rock Stadium.
• The Lions have lost the first quarter in each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Detroit -6.5