Jets vs Chiefs Prediction 11/8/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

Jets vs Chiefs Prediction

In this Jets vs Chiefs Prediction, the Chiefs are coming as -10.5 home favorites. The Chiefs have been the better team this season but both teams have been struggling lately, as the Chiefs have back-to-back losses but both were on the road, and the Jets are just 1-6 in their last 7 games and 2-4 against the spread in their last 6. The Chiefs have better numbers both offensively and defensively and two of their three home wins have been by double digits. They also have an excellent history against the Jets, with a 4-1 record in their last 5 head-to-head meetings and have won easily all of their three meetings in Kansas, having won by 26, 21 and 14 points. Take the Chiefs and lay the -10.5 at home in this one.

Kansas City Chiefs Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs have a 5-2 record this season are sitting on the 2nd place of the AFC West. They have a 3-0 home record and are 3-4 against the spread and 3-4 in over/under. They are coming off a 24-28 road loss against the Broncos and will face the Falcons, the Cardinals and the Bills next.

Offensively, the Chiefs average 23.9 points per game, ranking 11th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 18.7 points per game, which is 4th. Kansas City averages 383.1 total yards per game (249 passing and 134.1 rushing), while allowing 319.1 total yards per game (96.3 rushing and 222.9 passing). They average 6.3 yards per play, while allowing 5 yards per play to opponents. They score on 41.9% of their offensive drives, while averaging 2.28 points per drive. Defensively, they allow opponents to score on 37.5% of drives, while allowing 1.79 points per drive. Offensively, they have turned the ball over 5 times, while defensively, they have forced 10 turnovers, giving them a +5 net turnover margin.

Patrick Mahomes leads the Chiefs with 1795 passing yards with 66.4% completed passes and twelve touchdowns. Kenneth Walker III leads the team in rushing yards with 770, while Travis Kelce has 29 receptions for a team-high 410 receiving yards. Defensively, Nick Bolton has a team-high 68 total tackles (34 of them solo), while George Karlaftis leads the team in sacks, with 2.

Injury Report:

Nikko Remigio (Questionable, Hip) – Est. return Nov 8
Rashee Rice (Questionable, Hamstring) – Est. return Nov 8
Travis Kelce (Questionable, Ankle) – Est. return Nov 8
Mansoor Delane (Questionable, Shoulder) – Est. return Nov 8
Peter Woods (Questionable, Neck) – Est. return Nov 8

New York Jets Preview

The New York Jets have a 2-6 record this season are sitting on the 3rd place of the AFC East. They have a 1-3 home record and are 4-4 against the spread and 4-4 in over/under. They are coming off a 33-38 home loss against the Raiders and will face the Bills, the Chargers and the Dolphins next.

Offensively, the Jets average 21.3 points per game, ranking 25th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 23.5 points per game, which is 16th. New York averages 320 total yards per game (239.1 passing and 105.1 rushing), while allowing 317.6 total yards per game (123.6 rushing and 194 passing). They average 5.5 yards per play, while allowing 5 yards per play to opponents. They score on 41% of their offensive drives, while averaging 2.05 points per drive. Defensively, they allow opponents to score on 40.2% of drives, while allowing 2.23 points per drive. Offensively, they have turned the ball over 6 times, while defensively, they have forced 8 turnovers, giving them a +2 net turnover margin.

Geno Smith leads the Jets with 1913 passing yards with 69.0% completed passes and twelve touchdowns. Braelon Allen leads the team in rushing yards with 565, while Garrett Wilson has 43 receptions for a team-high 527 receiving yards. Defensively, Jamien Sherwood and Dane Belton have a team-high 68 total tackles each (32 and 37 of them solo respectively), while David Bailey leads the team in sacks, with 5.5.

Injury Report:

VJ Payne (IR-R, Knee) – Est. return Nov 8
Joseph Ossai (Questionable, Ankle) – Est. return Nov 8
Mason Taylor (Questionable, Back) – Est. return Nov 8
Trevin Wallace (Questionable, Groin) – Est. return Nov 8
Harrison Phillips (Questionable, Ankle) – Est. return Nov 8

New York Jets @ Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends: Week 9

Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win

• The Chiefs have won each of their last 13 games at Arrowhead Stadium against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Jets have lost each of their last 11 games as heavy underdogs (>+7.0 points).
• The Jets have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 Sunday games as underdogs.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the Chiefs’ last four games.
• The Jets have lost the first quarter in eight of their last nine Sunday games at Arrowhead Stadium.
• The Chiefs have won the first half in each of their last four games against the Jets at Arrowhead Stadium.

Why the New York Jets will win

• The Chiefs have lost four of their last five November games as favorites.
• The Jets have won three of their last four Week 9 road games against AFC West opponents.
• The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine November games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in eight of the Chiefs’ last 10 Week 9 games.
• The Jets have won the first half in three of their last four games against AFC West opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Chiefs’ last 10 games as home favorites following a loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Jets’ last seven road games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of the last seven Sunday games at Arrowhead Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts

• Kenneth Walker III has scored two touchdowns in three of the Chiefs’ last four games against AFC opponents.
• Xavier Worthy has recorded 35+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances in regular season day games at Arrowhead Stadium.
• Kenneth Walker III has recorded 139+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four regular season appearances with his team as a home favorite.
• Kenneth Walker III has recorded 107+ rushing yards in each of his four previous appearances at Arrowhead Stadium.
• Kenneth Walker III has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite.
• Heading into Week 9, Kenneth Walker III has recorded the longest touchdown reception of the season (76 vs Raiders, Week 4).

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Braelon Allen has scored a touchdown in three of the Jets’ last five day games against teams on a losing streak.
• Geno Smith has recorded 21+ completions in three of his last four Week 9 appearances.
• Tim Patrick has recorded 18+ receiving yards in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games against AFC West opponents.
• Geno Smith has recorded 215+ passing yards in five of his last six Sunday appearances with the Jets as underdogs.
• Braelon Allen has recorded 40+ rushing yards in each of the Jets’ last five games against AFC opponents.
• Braelon Allen has recorded 67+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Jets’ last five Sunday games.
• Heading into Week 9, Geno Smith ranks 6th amongst qualified players for passer rating (104.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 9, the Chiefs rank 2nd in the NFL in average yards per punt (51.4) this season.
• Heading into Week 9, the Chiefs rank T30th in the NFL in sacks (9.0) this season.
• Jets – seven different players have recorded 60+ receiving yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
• Jets – four different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -10.5