Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction NFL Picks 11/10/24

The Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs meet in week 10 NFL action from Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs prediction.

Denver Broncos Recap

The Denver Broncos come into this one looking to bounce back after a 41-10 loss last time out against the Ravens to fall to 5-4 on the year. After this game, Denver will head home for a game against the Atlanta Falcons.

Broncos Looking To Rebound

Bo Nix has thrown for 1,753 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions on 62.6% passing while also rushing for 295 yards and 4 touchdowns. Javonte Williams has a team-high 387 rushing yards with 2 touchdowns while Courtland Sutton has a team-high 499 receiving yards and 36 receptions with 2 TDs. Williams has 216 receiving yards while another five Broncos have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Brandon Jones has a team-high 65 total tackles including 42 solo tackles while Nik Bonitto has a team-high 6 sacks. Jonathon Cooper has 5.5 sacks and Zach Allen and John-Franklin Myers each have 4 sacks apiece while Pat Surtain II has a team-high 3 interceptions. As a unit, Denver’s defense has combined for 31 sacks and 7 interceptions on the year.

Why the Denver Broncos will win

• The Chiefs have lost each of their last six November home games against AFC West opponents.
• The Broncos have won each of their last three games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Broncos have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five November games at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Kansas City Chiefs Recap

The Kansas City Chiefs come into this game looking to build on their 8-0 start after a 30-24 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last time out. After this game, Kansas City will head on the road for a matchup against the Buffalo Bills.

Chiefs Looking To Remain Unbeaten

Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 1,942 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions on 69.9% passing while Kareem Hunt has rushed for 414 yards and 5 touchdowns. Travis Kelce leads the Chiefs in receiving with 52 grabs for 435 yards and a touchdown. On defense, Nick Bolton has a team-high 56 total tackles including 38 solo tackles while George Karlaftis has a team-high 4 sacks and the Chiefs’ defense as a whole has combined for 17 sacks and 5 interceptions.

Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win

• The Chiefs have won each of their last nine Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Broncos have lost each of their last eight games at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread in each of their last nine Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as underdogs against AFC opponents.

Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction

I’m looking towards the Broncos and the points here. I get why the Chiefs are favored here, but the Broncos more often than not have had a history of keeping things close with the Chiefs, and Denver has a strong enough defense that they can get to Patrick Mahomes, who hasn’t looked very Mahomes-like for much of the year. I think Kansas City wins, but catching almost double-digits here feels like a bit much. Give me Denver and the points.