Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction 9/13/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Browns vs Jaguars Prediction for this NFL Week 1 game on Sunday, September 13th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Jacksonville Jaguars Preview

The Jaguars finished the preseason with a 2-1 record and were placed 1st in the AFC South. They had a 1-1 home record and a 1-0 road record. They are coming off a 19-0 home victory over the Buccaneers, where they outgained their opponents 249 to 87 total yards and had 14 first downs. The Jaguars had 163 passing yards, 86 rushing yards, while winning the turnover battle by 0-1. They went 5/16 on third down conversions and 1/3 in the red zone.

Offensively in the preseason, the Jaguars averaged 20 points per game, while allowing 18 points per game defensively. Jacksonville averaged 280.7 total yards per game (186.0 passing and 94.7 rushing), while allowing 249.7 total yards per game (163.3 passing and 86.3 rushing).

Cleveland Browns Preview

The Browns finished the preseason with a 1-2 record and were placed 3rd in the AFC North. They had a 1-1 home record and a 0-1 road record. They are coming off a 37-13 home victory over the Patriots, where they outgained their opponents 379 to 276 total yards and had 23 first downs. The Browns had 213 passing yards, 166 rushing yards, while winning the turnover battle by 0-2. They went 8/13 on third down conversions and 4/6 in the red zone.

Offensively in the preseason, the Browns averaged 18 points per game, while allowing 26 points per game defensively. Cleveland averaged 295.7 total yards per game (176.3 passing and 119.3 rushing), while allowing 358.0 total yards per game (246.7 passing and 111.3 rushing).

Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Trends: Week 1

Why the Jacksonville Jaguars will win

• The Browns have lost each of their last six road games without Denzel Ward.
• The Jaguars have won eight of their last nine games without Travis Hunter.
• The Jaguars have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games.
• The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road games without Denzel Ward.
• The Jaguars have scored the first touchdown in nine of their last 10 Sunday games at EverBank Stadium.
• The Jaguars have won the first half in five of their last six games as favorites in Florida.
• The Browns have lost the first quarter in three of their last four September road games against AFC South opponents.

Why the Cleveland Browns will win

• The Jaguars have lost seven of their last eight September games against AFC opponents.
• The Browns have won three of their last four games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The Jaguars have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games without Brenton Strange.
• The Browns have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The Browns have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven road games against AFC South opponents.
• The Browns have won the first half in seven of their last eight games against AFC South opponents.
• The Browns have won the first quarter in each of their last three games as road underdogs against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Browns’ last eight road games without Isaiah McGuire have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Jaguars’ last nine home games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Three of the last four Sunday games at EverBank Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts

• Bhayshul Tuten has scored a touchdown in each of his five previous regular season appearances with the Jaguars as favorites against AFC opponents.
• Trevor Lawrence has recorded 22+ completions in six of the Jaguars’ last seven games against AFC North opponents.
• Trevor Lawrence has recorded 244+ passing yards in each of the Jaguars’ last five regular season games.
• Brian Thomas has recorded 49+ receiving yards in each of his last six regular season appearances at EverBank Stadium.
• Chris Rodriguez has recorded 41+ rushing yards in each of his last five appearances.
• Trevor Lawrence recorded the equal-most passing touchdowns in a single game last season (5 vs Jets, Week 15).

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

• Harold Fannin Jr. has scored the last touchdown in each of his last three appearances against AFC opponents.
• Harold Fannin Jr. has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five appearances.
• Jerry Jeudy has recorded 48+ receiving yards in each of his eight previous September road appearances.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 186+ passing yards in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC South opponents.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 20+ rushing yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a road underdog against AFC opponents.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 19+ completions in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a road underdog against AFC opponents.
• Malachi Corley has recorded 31+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Browns’ last four road games against AFC opponents.
• Dylan Sampson had the most rushing attempts without a rushing touchdown last season (65).

Matchup/League Facts

• Jaguars – seven different players recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
• The Jaguars ranked 1st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (85.6) last season.
• The Browns ranked 1st in the NFL in total punt yards (4165) last season.
• The Browns ranked 1st in the NFL in 1st downs against (285) last season.

Browns vs Jaguars Prediction

In this Browns vs Jaguars Prediction, the Jaguars are coming as -8.5 home favorites. The Jaguars have a positive record in the preseason and a positive point differential, while the Browns’ defensively line did not look good, as they allowed 26 points per game (8 more than the Jaguars). The Jaguars have been very strong at home last season and excellent against the spread with a 12-4 ATS record, while the Browns were just 2-6 on the road. Given how both teams looked in the preseason and how strong the Jaguars have been at home, I will lay the -8.5 points with the home team in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars -8.5