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Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos Player Prop Picks 12/2/24
Pick details
Denver Broncos (7-5) vs Cleveland Browns (3-8)
December 2, 2024 at 08:15 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Denver Broncos +135 / Cleveland Browns -160 — Over/Under: 41.5
The matchup between the Cleveland Browns and the Denver Broncos on December 2, 2024, is pivotal for both teams. The game will be held at Empower Field at Mile High, with the Browns entering with a challenging 3-8 record, while the Broncos are 7-4 and in a stronger playoff position.
For the Browns, their offense has struggled, averaging only 18 points per game in eight of their last nine contests. Quarterback Jameis Winston has shown flashes of promise, but the Browns’ offense has been inconsistent, especially in their road games. Cleveland’s defense as also struggled allowing an average of 24.3 points per game. The Broncos, led by rookie quarterback Bo Nix, have been more efficient, averaging 21.9 points per game. Nix has thrown for 2,548 yards, with Courtland Sutton and Devaughn Vele providing a reliable receiving duo. Denver’s defense has been one of the league’s best, allowing just 16.8 points per game, and they have been particularly strong in the second half of games.
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Devaughn Vele Over 33.5 Rec Yards
Devaugn Vele has emerged as one of the Bronco’s most reliable offensive weapons. In his first full season in the NFL. He has posted solid numbers: 32 receptions for 361 yards, averaging 11.3 yards per catch. His best performance came against the Las Vegas Raiders on November 24, where he tallied 80 yards on 6 catches. He’s also had notable games against the Atlanta Falcons (66 yards) and the Kansas City Chiefs (39 yards with a touchdown). His yards per game average stands at 45.1, showing a consistent role in the Broncos’ passing game.
I like Vele to carry his momentum from his 80-yard game against the Raiders into Monday night. Cortland Sutton is getting a lot of attention from defenses which has opened things up for Vele. We’ve seen him clear this line of 33.5 yards in 3 straight games and as the season goes on Vele has continuously been utilized more and more in this offense. As the season goes on look for oddsmakers to increase his line. There’s still a lot of value in taking the over at 33.5.
Jameis Winston Under 229.5 Pass Yards
Jameis Winston, playing for the Cleveland Browns in the 2024 season, has appeared in 9 games so far. He has completed 107 of 172 passes (62.2% completion) for 1,266 yards. Winston has thrown 7 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, with an average of 7.4 yards per attempt and a passer rating of 88.5. His best performance came on November 17, when he passed for 395 yards and 2 touchdowns against the New Orleans Saints.
We’ve seen Winston have some impressive games statistically through 4 games with the Browns but this is a good spot to sell high on Winston. This Broncos team has been winning games behind their elite defense. Winston has yet to play a defense like the Broncos this season and it’ll show. I expect this to be a lower-scoring game from both teams and passing yards won’t come easy for Winston and this Browns offense.Â
Cortland Sutton Longest Reception Over 22.5 Yards
Courtland Sutton has been putting up solid receiving numbers for the Denver Broncos in the 2024-25 NFL season. Through 12 games, he has accumulated 57 receptions for 744 yards, averaging 13.1 yards per catch, and has scored 5 touchdowns. His performance has been consistent, recording over 70 yards in five consecutive games leading into Week 12. Sutton’s role in the Broncos’ offense is significant, accounting for about 25% of the team’s total targets and nearly 41% of the team’s air yards.
Bo Nix’s favorite deep target has been Cortland Sutton. We’ve seen him get a reception over 22 yards in 8 of his last 10 games. This Browns defense is solid but they’ve been susceptible to giving up chunk plays. Cortland Sutton is getting around 7-8 receptions a game and most of those are downfield. In what should be a competitive game expect Sutton to get multiple deep looks from Bo Nix.Â