Browns vs Saints Prediction 11/8/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

Browns vs Saints Prediction

The Saints are going to be favored at home against a backup quarterback. It looks like Watson is out due to a concussion. That means Shedeur Sanders gets the nod, and he has just 3 pass attempts this season and 215 pass attempts in his career. I’m still grabbing the points with the Browns. Watson or Sanders, the Browns are still winning games despite being 24th in total offense, 21st in pass offense, and 29th in scoring offense. Maybe Sanders adds some explosiveness to this offense.

Also, the Saints have lost four of their last five games and are still 28th in total defense and 29th in both rush defense and scoring defense. The Browns QB situation doesn’t mean the Saints are good all of a sudden. The Saints still stink. Give me the points with the Browns, especially with that hook on top of a key number.

Browns Betting Preview

The Browns beat the Titans, lost to the Steelers, and they play the Texans next. The Browns have won 5 of their last 7 games. Deshaun Watson is completing 65.5 percent of his passes for 1,806 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Watson has been sacked 33 times this season. Harold Fannin Jr. has 411 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns on 35 receptions. Denzel Boston has 409 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns on 26 receptions. KC Concepcion has 352 receiving yards on 33 receptions.

The Browns average 97.6 rushing yards, and Quinshon Judkins leads the team with 342 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, the Browns are allowing 21.6 points and 323.5 total yards per game. The Browns have forced 6 turnovers. Barrett Carter leads the Browns with 58 tackles. Boye Mafe leads the Browns with 5.5 sacks. Jordan Battle leads the Browns with 3 interceptions.

Saints Betting Preview

The Saints beat the Giants, lost to the Steelers, and they play the Panthers next. The Saints have lost 4 of their last 5 games. Tyler Shough is completing 67 percent of his passes for 1,721 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Shough has been sacked 15 times this season. Chris Olave has 636 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns on 49 receptions. Devaughn Vele has 348 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns on 33 receptions. Juwan Johnson has 255 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns on 26 receptions.

The Saints average 86 rushing yards, and Kendre Miller leads the team with 159 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, the Saints are allowing 27.7 points and 372.7 total yards per game. The Saints have forced 4 turnovers. Pete Werner leads the Saints with 54 tackles. Chase Young leads the Saints with 7 sacks. Martin Emerson Jr. leads the Saints with 2 interceptions.

Browns vs Saints Injury Report

The Saints will be without CJ Donaldson with a concussion. Kelvin Banks Jr. is questionable with an ankle injury. Martin Emerson is questionable with a shin injury. Asim Richards is questionable with a thumb injury. Jordyn Tyson is questionable with a hamstring injury.

The Browns will be without Maliek Collins with an elbow injury. Deshaun Watson is questionable with a concussion.

Why the New Orleans Saints will win

• The Browns have lost each of their last seven road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The home team has won five of the Browns’ last six games.
• The Saints have covered the spread in each of their last six games without Julian Blackmon.
• The Browns have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs without Denzel Ward.
• The Saints have won the first half in five of their last six November games as favorites against AFC opponents.

Why the Cleveland Browns will win

• The Saints have lost each of their last seven games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Browns have won four of their last five games as underdogs without Dylan Sampson.
• The Browns have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against NFC South opponents.
• The Saints have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as favorites without Juwan Johnson.
• The underdogs have won the first half in four of the last five games between the Browns and Saints.
• The Browns have won the first quarter in each of their last two November games as underdogs against NFC South opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Browns’ last six games without Isaiah McGuire have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Saints’ last eight Sunday games at Caesars Superdome have gone UNDER the total points line.

New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts

• Chris Olave has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Saints’ last four Sunday games as favorites.
• Tyler Shough has recorded 239+ passing yards in each of the Saints’ last six day games against AFC opponents.
• Tyler Shough has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Saints’ last six day games against AFC opponents.
• Noah Fant has recorded 11+ receiving yards in 17 of his last 19 appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 9, Tyler Shough ranks 1st in the league for times blitzed (104) this season.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

• Dylan Sampson has recorded 44+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five road appearances.
• Jerry Jeudy has recorded 22+ receiving yards in 12 of his 14 previous road appearances against NFC opponents.
• Jaleel McLaughlin has recorded 39+ rushing yards in four of his last five appearances following a loss.
• Heading into Week 9, Ronnie Hickman ranks T1st in the league for fumbles recovered (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 9, the Saints rank 2nd in the NFL in 4th down percentage (80.0%) this season.
• Heading into Week 9, the Saints rank 2nd in the NFL in red zone percentage (77.3%) this season.
• Heading into Week 9, the Browns are the only team to overturn multiple 10+ point 1st quarter deficits to win this season.
• Heading into Week 9, the Browns have suffered the most losses by a margin of 20+ points this season (2).

Randy Chambers's Pick: Browns +3.5