Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction NFL Picks 10/21/24

In this article, we will formulate a Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers prediction for this NFL game on Monday, October 21st at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 7 matchup.

Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview

The Baltimore Ravens are 4-2 this year after they defeated Washington by a score of 30-23 in their last game. Baltimore led 17-10 at halftime and 27-13 in the fourth quarter, but they had to hang on for the win in the fourth. The Ravens outgained Washington by a total of 484-305, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 6-10 on third down in the game. Lamar Jackson threw for 323 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Derrick Henry rushed for 132 yards and two scores. 

Baltimore has also defeated Dallas, Buffalo, and Cincinnati during this four-game winning streak, but they did start the season with two losses against Kansas City and Las Vegas. The Baltimore offense has scored 29.5 points per game with 248.3 passing yards and 205.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 24.8 points per game this season. The Ravens have gone 51.5% on third down and 3-4 on fourth down so far this season. Lamar Jackson has completed 67% of his passes for 1,529 yards, 10 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Derrick Henry has rushed for 704 yards and eight scores. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 4-2 this season after they defeated New Orleans by a score of 51-27 last week. Tampa Bay trailed 27-24 at halftime, but they scored 27 points in the second half for the win. The Buccaneers outgained NO by a total of 594-303, tied the turnover battle at three, and went 6-10 on third down in the game. Baker Mayfield threw for 325 yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Sean Tucker rushed for 136 yards and one score. 

Tampa Bay also has wins over Washington, Detroit, and Philadelphia, but they do have two losses against Denver and Atlanta. The TB offense has scored 29.7 points per game with 230.3 passing yards and 136.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23.5 points per game this season. The Buccaneers have gone 47.1% on third down and 1-3 on fourth down through six games. Baker Mayfield has completed 70.9% of his passes for 1,489 yards, 15 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Chris Godwin has caught 43 passes for 511 yards and five scores. 

Why the Buccaneers will cover

• The Buccaneers have won four of their last five games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
• The Ravens have lost 12 of their 14 previous Week 7 road games.
• The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 October games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The Buccaneers have covered the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs following a Division game.
• The Ravens have lost the first half in three of their last four Week 7 road games against NFC opponents.

Why the Ravens will cover

• The Ravens have won 20 of their last 21 games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The Buccaneers have lost 10 of their last 11 games against AFC North opponents.
• The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games in October.
• The Ravens have covered the spread in each of their last four games as road favorites.
• The Buccaneers have lost the first quarter in eight of their last 10 games at Raymond James Stadium following a win.
• The Buccaneers have lost the first half in seven of their last nine Monday games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Buccaneers’ last six games at Raymond James Stadium following a win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Ravens’ last four October games as favorites has gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the last eight Monday games at Raymond James Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts

• Baker Mayfield has recorded 283+ passing yards in five of the Buccaneers’ last six home games.
• Rachaad White has recorded 39+ rushing yards in eight of the Buccaneers’ last nine games as underdogs.
• Mike Evans has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Buccaneers’ last four October games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• Rachaad White has recorded 18+ receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last eight regular season games at Raymond James Stadium.
• Rachaad White has recorded 58+ rushing and receiving yards in 11 of the Buccaneers’ last 12 games as underdogs.
• Baker Mayfield has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of the Buccaneers’ last three games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
• Baker Mayfield has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Buccaneers’ last six games at Raymond James Stadium.
• Heading into Week 7, Chris Godwin ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (5) this season.

Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts

• Lamar Jackson has recorded 223+ passing yards in five of the Ravens’ last six October games.
• Derrick Henry has scored the first touchdown in each of the Ravens’ last three games following a win.
• Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last seven appearances.
• Lamar Jackson has recorded 62+ rushing yards in each of the Ravens’ last six Monday games as favorites.
• Mark Andrews has recorded 27+ receiving yards in 14 of his last 15 appearances with the Ravens as favorites following a home win.
• Derrick Henry has recorded 130+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite against NFC opponents.
• Derrick Henry has scored two touchdowns in each of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite against NFC opponents.
• Lamar Jackson has recorded 20+ completions in five of the Ravens’ last six October games as favorites.
• Heading into Week 7, Derrick Henry ranks 1st in the NFL in touchdowns (9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 7, the Buccaneers rank 2nd in the NFL in forced fumbles (8) this season.
• Heading into Week 7, the Buccaneers rank 31st in the NFL in punt return yards per game (7.2) this season.
• Heading into Week 7, the Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (59.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 7, the Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (51.5%) this season.

Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this matchup looking for their fifth win in a row, but they have had a few close calls during this winning streak. The Ravens offense has scored at least 30 points in three straight games, while the Buccaneers have also scored at least 30 points in three straight. Both of these teams have been great offensively and I have not been impressed with either defense, so take the over here. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 48.5