Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction 1/12/25 NFL Picks

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-7) vs Washington Commanders (12-5)

Game Info: Sunday, January 12, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Raymond James Stadium)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 -- Over/Under: 50.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: NBC

The Washington Commanders and Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet Sunday in the NFC Wild Card Playoffs at Raymond James Stadium. Here’s a Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction. This article will include a Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick.

Washington Commanders Betting Preview

The Washington Commanders recently beat the Eagles, Falcons, and Cowboys. The Washington Commanders have won 5 of their last 7 road games. Jayden Daniels is completing 69 percent of his passes for 3,568 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz have combined for 1,753 receiving yards and 20 touchdowns, while Olamide Zaccheaus has 45 receptions.

The Washington Commanders ground game is averaging 154.1 yards per contest, and Daniels leads the way with 891 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Washington is allowing 23 points and 326.9 yards per game. Bobby Wagner leads the Washington Commanders with 132 tackles, Dante Fowler Jr. has 10.5 sacks and Mike Sainristil has 2 interceptions.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers recently lost to the Cowboys, while they beat the Panthers and Saints. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 3 straight home games. Baker Mayfield is completing 71.4 percent of his passes for 4,500 yards, 41 touchdowns, and 16 interceptions. Mike Evans and Cade Otton have combined for 1,6004 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns, while Chris Godwin has 50 receptions.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 149.2 yards per contest, and Bucky Irving leads the way with 1,122 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 22.6 points and 341.8 yards per game. Lavonte David leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 122 tackles, Calijah Kancey has 7.5 sacks and Zyon McCollum has 2 interceptions.

Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win

  • The Commanders have lost each of their last five postseason games against NFC opponents.
  • The Buccaneers have won each of their last five games played on the East Coast.
  • The home team has covered the spread in six of the Commanders' last seven games.
  • The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
  • The Commanders have lost the first half in four of their last five postseason games.
  • The Commanders have lost the first quarter in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NFC South opponents.

Why the Washington Commanders Will Win

  • The Commanders have won each of their last five games.
  • The Buccaneers have lost each of their last four home games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
  • The Commanders have covered the spread in four of their last five January games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
  • The Buccaneers have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
  • The Commanders have won the first half in four of their five previous road games against the Buccaneers following a win.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts

  • Jalen McMillan has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Buccaneers' last five Sunday games.
  • Baker Mayfield has recorded 24+ completions in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC East opponents.
  • Baker Mayfield has recorded 275+ passing yards in each of the Buccaneers' last four games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
  • Rachaad White has recorded 34+ rushing yards in each of the Buccaneers' last four games at Raymond James Stadium as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
  • Rachaad White has recorded 66+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers' last four games at Raymond James Stadium as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
  • Cade Otton has recorded 35+ receiving yards in each of his last six home appearances.
  • Heading into the Wild Card Round, Baker Mayfield has recorded the equal-most passing touchdowns in a single game this season (5 vs Panthers, Week 17).

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

  • Brian Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Commanders as road underdogs.
  • Zach Ertz has recorded 40+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with a total points line of at least 50.0.
  • Jayden Daniels has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Commanders' last four games played on the East Coast.
  • Austin Ekeler has recorded 34+ rushing yards in 13 of his last 16 appearances following a win.
  • Austin Ekeler has recorded 68+ rushing and receiving yards in nine of his last 10 appearances with a total points line of at least 50.0.
  • Heading into the Wild Card Round, Frankie Luvu ranks 1st in the league for times blitzed (123) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Heading into the Wild Card Round, the Buccaneers ranked 1st in the NFL in time of possession per game (32:27) during the reg. season.
  • Heading into the Wild Card Round, the Buccaneers ranked 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (50.9%) during the reg. season.
  • Heading into the Wild Card Round, the Commanders ranked T2nd in the NFL in Q4 points per game (8.6) during the reg. season.
  • Heading into the Wild Card Round, the Commanders ranked 2nd in the NFL in Q2 opponent points per game (4.6) during the reg. season.

Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

The Washington Commanders and the points can be attractive as they're a confident team that's used to winning games. The Commanders are riding a five-game winning streak right now. Jayden Daniels is as confident as a rookie we've seen, and it wouldn't be shocking to see him take the Commanders on a run. With all that said, the Buccaneers are scary offensively, ranked in the top five in total offense, passing offense, rushing offense, and scoring offense. If Mayfield and company stay in this groove, the Bucs are the team in the NFC nobody wants to face. Also, the strength of the Commander's offense is the ground game, and the Buccaneers' defense is fourth against the run. The Buccaneers are the sleeper tea in the NFC, as that offense can take over a game like few in the NFL can. I'll lay the field goal.

Randy’s Pick Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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