Washington Commanders vs New Orleans Saints Prediction NFL Picks 12/15/24

New Orleans Saints (5-8) vs Washington Commanders (8-5)

Game Info: Sunday, December 15, 2024 at 1:00 pm (Caesars Superdome)

Betting Odds: New Orleans Saints +7 / Washington Commanders -7 --- Over/Under: 41.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Washington Commanders and New Orleans Saints meet Sunday in week 15 NFL action at Caesars Superdome. Here’s a Washington Commanders vs New Orleans Saints Prediction. This article will include a Washington Commanders vs New Orleans Saints Pick.

Washington Commanders Betting Preview

The Washington Commanders lost to the Cowboys, beat the Titans, and they play the Eagles next. The Washington Commanders have split their last 6 road games. Jayden Daniels is completing 69.6 percent of his passes for 2,819 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz have combined for 1,397 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns, while Noah Brown has 35 receptions.

The Washington Commanders ground game is averaging 156.9 yards per contest, and Brian Robinson Jr. leads the way with 640 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Washington is allowing 22.8 points and 327.7 yards per game. Bobby Wagner leads the Washington Commanders with 104 tackles, Dante Fowler Jr. has 8.5 sacks and Emmanuel Forbes Jr. has 1 interception.

New Orleans Saints Betting Preview

The New Orleans Saints beat the Giants, lost to the Rams, and they play the Packers next. The New Orleans Saints have lost 4 of their last 6 home games. Derek Carr is completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 2,145 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave have combined for 885 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Juwan Johnson has 34 receptions.

The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 128.7 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 938 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 22.5 points and 380.5 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New Orleans Saints with 90 tackles, Bryan Bresee has 7.5 sacks and Paulson Adebo has 3 interceptions.

Why the Washington Commanders Will Win

  • The Commanders have won five of their last six road games against NFC South opponents.
  • The Saints have lost eight of their last nine games at Caesars Superdome against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Commanders have covered the spread in seven of their last eight Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Saints have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five December games as home underdogs.
  • The Saints have lost the first quarter in four of their last five December home games against NFC East opponents.
  • The Saints have lost the first half in four of their last five December games as home underdogs.

New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts

  • Juwan Johnson has scored a touchdown in four of the Saints' last five December games against NFC opponents.
  • Jamaal Williams has recorded 33+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
  • Derek Carr has recorded 226+ passing yards in 12 of his last 14 appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
  • Cedrick Wilson has recorded 18+ receiving yards in each of his last four appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Jamaal Williams has recorded 28+ rushing yards in nine of his last 11 appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
  • Derek Carr has thrown three touchdowns in each of his last two Week 15 home appearances.
  • Derek Carr has recorded 20+ completions in each of the Saints' last five December games.
  • Heading into Week 15, Alvin Kamara has recorded the equal-most rushing touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Cowboys, Week 2).

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

  • Jayden Daniels has recorded 44+ rushing yards in four of the Commanders' last five games as favorites against NFC opponents.
  • Zach Ertz has recorded 35+ receiving yards in each of his last four December appearances.
  • Brian Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in 10 of his last 11 road appearances.
  • Brian Robinson has recorded 71+ rushing and receiving yards in six of his last seven appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Jayden Daniels has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Commanders' last three games.
  • Jayden Daniels has thrown two or more touchdowns in three of the Commanders' last four Sunday games.
  • Heading into Week 15, Terry McLaurin ranks T1st in the NFC for receiving touchdowns (9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Heading into Week 15, the Saints rank T31st in the NFL in Q3 points per game (2.5) this season.
  • Heading into Week 15, the Saints rank 30th in the NFL in yards allowed per game (380.5) this season.
  • Heading into Week 15, the Commanders rank 2nd in the NFL in H1 points per game (15.4) this season.
  • Heading into Week 15, the Commanders rank 2nd in the NFL in H1 opponent points per game (7.8) this season.

Washington Commanders vs New Orleans Saints Prediction

The Washington Commanders are the better, healthier team, and they have the rest advantage. The Commanders should be decent-sized favorites for those reasons, especially when the Saints aren't taking care of the home field. With all that said, the Commanders have fallen off a bit with losses in 3 of their last 4 games and the defense isn't pulling its weight. The Saints have issues of their own, but we're getting a free touchdown at home. This line is too rich. It's Saints or pass for me.

Randy’s Pick New Orleans Saints +7

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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