Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers Prediction NFL Picks 12/1/24

Carolina Panthers Betting Preview

The Carolina Panthers are 3-8 this season after they lost to Kansas City by a score of 30-27 in their last game. Carolina trailed 27-16 in the fourth quarter, but they tied the game with 1:46 left, before losing on a last-second field goal. The Panthers were outgained by a total of 391-334, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 5-13 on third down in the game. Bryce Young threw for 263 yards and one touchdown, while Chuba Hubbard rushed for 58 yards and one score. 

Prior to that loss, the Panthers defeated the Giants by a score of 20-17 and the Saints by a score of 23-22. The Carolina offense has scored 17.6 points per game with 177.8 passing yards and 107.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 30.9 points per game this season. Bryce Young has completed 60.1% of his passes for 1,083 yards, five touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Chuba Hubbard has rushed for 876 yards and seven scores. 

Why the Panthers will beat the Buccaneers 

• The Buccaneers have lost each of their last two games as road favorites following a win.
• The Panthers have won each of their last two games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four December games as favorites.
• The Panthers have covered the spread in four of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
• The home team has won the first quarter in eight of the Panthers' last nine Week 13 games.
• The Buccaneers have lost the first half in four of their last five Week 13 road games against NFC opponents.

Why the Buccaneers will beat the Panthers

• The Buccaneers have won nine of their last 10 road games in December.
• The Panthers have lost eight of their last nine games played on the East Coast.
• The Buccaneers have covered the spread in each of their last five road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Panthers have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs following a home loss.
• The Panthers have lost the first quarter in three of their last four Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The favorites have won the first half in each of the Buccaneers' last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Buccaneers' last nine games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last four Sunday games at Bank of America Stadium has gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Panthers' last four games at Bank of America Stadium has gone OVER the total points line.

Carolina Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Chuba Hubbard has scored the last touchdown in each of the Panthers' last three Sunday games played on the East Coast.
• Adam Thielen has recorded 43+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight regular season home appearances against NFC South opponents.
• Chuba Hubbard has recorded 58+ rushing yards in each of the Panthers' last six Sunday games at Bank of America Stadium.
• Chuba Hubbard has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Panthers' last five games.
• Chuba Hubbard has recorded 71+ rushing and receiving yards in nine of the Panthers' last 10 games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
• Andy Dalton has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last four December home appearances against NFC opponents.
• Andy Dalton has recorded 25+ completions in three of his four previous appearances at Bank of America Stadium.
• Heading into Week 13, Shy Tuttle ranks T2nd in the league for fumbles recovered (2) this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts

• Mike Evans has recorded 59+ receiving yards in five of his last six December appearances with the Buccaneers as favorites against NFC South opponents.
• Rachaad White has recorded 36+ rushing yards in each of the Buccaneers' last six December games against NFC opponents.
• Rachaad White has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Buccaneers' last four games played on the East Coast.
• Rachaad White has recorded 58+ rushing and receiving yards in 14 of his last 16 appearances against NFC opponents.
• Baker Mayfield has recorded 294+ passing yards in four of the Buccaneers' last five Sunday games.
• Baker Mayfield has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Buccaneers' last four games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• Baker Mayfield has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of the Buccaneers' last two road games against NFC South opponents.
• Troy Hill is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 13, the Panthers rank 32nd in the NFL in Q2 opponent points per game (11.9) this season.
• Heading into Week 13, the Panthers rank 32nd in the NFL in H1 opponent points per game (18.9) this season.
• Heading into Week 13, the Buccaneers rank 2nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (50.4%) this season.
• Heading into Week 13, the Buccaneers rank 2nd in the NFL in red zone percentage (69.8%) this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers Prediction 

Carolina comes into this matchup with some momentum after winning two of their last three games, and they nearly beat Kansas City last week. Tampa Bay snapped their losing streak with a blowout win over the Giants and with Evans back in the lineup, they need to string some wins together. Tampa Bay’s defense has been questionable at times this season, so I do think this Carolina team can put up around 20 points. On the other side, the Bucs are great offensively and have scored at least 24 points in seven of their last eight games. Take the over here.