LA Chargers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction NFL Picks 12/1/24

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Atlanta Falcons (6-5) vs LA Chargers (7-4)

December 1, 2024 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Falcons +2 / LA Chargers -2 — Over/Under: 46.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Chargers and the Atlanta Falcons meet in week 13 NFL action from Mercedes Benz Stadium on Sunday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Chargers vs. Atlanta Falcons prediction.

Los Angeles Chargers Recap

The Los Angeles Chargers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 30-23 loss at the hands of the Baltimore Ravens last time out, falling to 7-4 on the year. After this game, the Chargers will head back on the road for a matchup with the Kansas City Chiefs.

Chargers Looking To Rebound

Justin Herbert has thrown for 2,404 yards, 13 touchdowns, and an interception on 62.9% passing while J.K. Dobbins leads the Chargers on the ground with 766 rushing yards and 8 TDs this season. Ladd McConkey has a team-high 49 catches for 698 yards and 4 touchdowns while Josh Palmer has 403 receiving yards. Quentin Johnston has 354 receiving yards with 6 TDs of his own and Will Dissly also has 399 receiving yards. On defense, Daiyan Henley has a team-high 104 total tackles including 63 solo tackles while Tuli Tuipolotu has a team-high 7 sacks and Bud Dupree has 5 sacks. Khalil Mack has also chipped in 4.5 sacks. Elijah Molden also has a team-high 3 interceptions as the Chargers’ defense as a whole has combined for 35 sacks and 9 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Los Angeles Chargers will win

  • The road team has won each of the Falcons’ last eight Week 13 games.
  • The Falcons have lost each of their last seven Week 13 home games.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the Falcons’ last eight Week 13 games.
  • The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as underdogs against AFC opponents.

Atlanta Falcons Recap

The Atlanta Falcons come into this game looking to bounce back after their bye week, going into the bye with two straight Ls, thanks to a 38-6 loss to Denver last time out. After this game, the Falcons will head on the road to take on the Minnesota Vikings.

Falcons Looking To Come Out Refreshed

Kirk Cousins has thrown for 2,807 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions on 68.1% passing while Bijan Robinson has a team-high 783 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns. Tyler Allgeier has 429 rushing yards as well while Drake London has a team-high 61 receptions for 710 yards and 6 TDs and Darnell Mooney has 48 grabs for 711 yards and 4 scores. Kyle Pitts has 494 receiving yards with 3 TDs while Ray-Ray McCloud III and Bijan Robinson each have 350+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Kaden Elliss leads the Falcons with 98 total tackles including 57 solo tackles while the Falcons’ defense has combined for 10 sacks and 7 interceptions as well on the year.

Why the Atlanta Falcons will win

  • The Falcons have won seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Chargers have lost four of their last six Week 13 games as favorites.
  • The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Falcons have covered the spread in four of their last five games played on the East Coast.

Chargers vs. Falcons Prediction

I’m going to lean towards the Falcons here. I think the bye week helped the Falcons get their minds right to focus on a Chargers team that is going to have a gut check here, with JK Dobbins listed as questionable after the Ravens’ game. The Falcons also have the edge of being at home and this is a cross-country trip for the Chargers with an early start time. I think the Falcons edge it out at home here. Give me Atlanta.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Atlanta +2

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