Kansas City Chiefs vs Carolina Panthers Prediction NFL Picks 11/24/24

Carolina Panthers Betting Preview

The Carolina Panthers are 3-7 this season after they defeated the Giants in overtime by a score of 20-17 in their last game. Carolina blew a 17-7 lead in the fourth quarter, but they forced a turnover in overtime for the win. The Panthers were outgained by a total of 342-306, won the turnover battle 3-1, and went 6-15 on third down in the game. Bryce Young threw for 126 yards and one touchdown, while Chuba Hubbard rushed for 153 yards and one score in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Panthers defeated the Saints by a score of 23-22 but did lose the previous five games. The Carolina offense has scored 16.7 points per game with 170.7 passing yards and 110 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 31 points per game this season. Bryce Young has completed 60.1% of his passes for 820 yards, four touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Chuba Hubbard has rushed for 818 yards and six scores. 

Why the Panthers will cover

• The Chiefs have lost each of their last three games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Panthers have won each of their last two games as underdogs.
• The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight November games against NFC opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in four of the Chiefs' last five games.
• The Chiefs have lost the first half in six of their last eight Sunday games.
• The Chiefs have lost the first quarter in each of their last two games as road favorites against NFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Panthers' last nine November games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Chiefs' last four road games in November has gone OVER the total points line.

Carolina Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Miles Sanders has recorded 32+ rushing yards in 32 of his last 36 appearances following a win.
• Chuba Hubbard has recorded 12+ receiving yards in each of the Panthers' last six games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• Chuba Hubbard has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Panthers' last three November games.
• Miles Sanders has recorded 46+ rushing and receiving yards in 11 of his 13 previous appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
• Bryce Young has recorded 20+ completions in three of his four previous appearances following a win.
• Andy Dalton has thrown two or more touchdowns in five of his last six Sunday home appearances.
• Heading into Week 12, Shy Tuttle ranks T1st in the league for fumbles recovered (2) this season.

Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts

• Patrick Mahomes has recorded 245+ passing yards in 16 of the Chiefs' last 17 games following a loss.
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire has recorded 37+ rushing yards in each of his four previous road appearances against NFC South opponents.
• Samaje Perine has recorded 15+ receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances following a loss.
• Isiah Pacheco has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four road appearances.
• Samaje Perine has recorded 24+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
• Patrick Mahomes has thrown three or more touchdowns in four of the Chiefs' last five road games in November.
• Patrick Mahomes has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Chiefs' last seven regular season games as favorites against NFC South opponents.
• Justin Reid is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 12, the Panthers rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (160.1) this season.
• Heading into Week 12, the Panthers rank 1st in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (79.5) this season.
• Heading into Week 12, the Chiefs rank T2nd in the NFL in H2 win percentage (70.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 12, the Chiefs rank 3rd in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (85.3) this season.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Carolina Panthers Prediction 

Carolina comes into this matchup as a pretty big underdog, but they have some momentum and they will be at home for this game. The Panthers have won two games in a row and their defense has only allowed 17 and 22 points in those two games, which is a big improvement. Kansas City finally picked up their first loss of the season in their last game, but they have had plenty of close games this year. The Chiefs really haven’t been blowing teams out this season and they only have one win by more than 11 points this season. I don’t love the game at all, but I think I have to take the points with Bryce Young and the Panthers.