Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns Prediction NFL Picks 11/21/24

Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

The Cleveland Browns are 2-8 this season after they lost to New Orleans by a score of 35-14 in their last game. Cleveland tied the game at 14 in the third quarter, but they allowed 21 points in the fourth quarter for the loss. The Browns were outgained by a total of 473-443, won the turnover battle 2-0, and went 3-13 on third down in the game. Jameis Winston threw for 395 yards and two touchdowns, while Jerry Jeudy caught six passes for 142 yards and one score. 

Prior to that loss, the Browns lost to the Chargers by a score of 27-10 but did beat Baltimore by a score of 29-24 before that. The Cleveland offense has scored 16.2 points per game with 202.8 passing yards and 88.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 24.8 points per game this season. Jameis Winston has completed 61.4% of his passes for 1,047 yards, seven touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Jerry Jeudy has caught 39 passes for 560 yards and two scores this year. 

Why the Browns will beat the Steelers

• The Browns have won each of their last eight games at Huntington Bank Field against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Steelers have lost eight of their last nine Thursday road games.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the Browns' last five Week 12 games.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five Week 12 games as favorites.
• The Browns have won the first half in four of their last five Thursday games.
• The Browns have won the first quarter in each of their last five games against the Steelers at Huntington Bank Field.

Why the Steelers will beat the Browns

• The Steelers have won eight of their last nine games against AFC North opponents.
• The Browns have lost each of their last five games following a road loss.
• The Steelers have covered the spread in each of their last five games.
• The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four November games as home underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The Steelers have won the first half in each of their last five games as road favorites against the Browns.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Browns' last eight November games at Huntington Bank Field have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eleven of the Steelers' last 12 November games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Nine of the last 10 games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

• David Njoku has scored a touchdown in each of the Browns' last three home games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
• Nick Chubb has recorded 58+ rushing yards in each of his last nine regular-season appearances against the Steelers.
• Nick Chubb has recorded 90+ rushing and receiving yards in nine of his 10 previous November appearances at Huntington Bank Field.
• Jameis Winston has recorded 220+ passing yards in nine of his 10 previous November home appearances.
• Jordan Akins has recorded 10+ receiving yards in seven of the Browns' last eight regular season games against AFC opponents.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 25+ completions in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Deshaun Watson has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his three previous Week 12 appearances.
• Heading into Week 12, Denzel Ward ranks 1st in the league for passes defensed (17) this season.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• Najee Harris has scored a touchdown in five of the Steelers' last six road games against AFC North opponents.
• Russell Wilson has recorded 17+ completions in 12 of his last 13 November appearances against AFC opponents.
• George Pickens has recorded 74+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Steelers' last five games following a win.
• Russell Wilson has recorded 186+ passing yards in each of his last eight appearances.
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 41+ rushing yards in each of the Steelers' last six November games.
• Mike Williams has recorded 17+ receiving yards in 20 of his last 21 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
• Minkah Fitzpatrick is just one away from 20 career interceptions.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 12, the Browns rank 32nd in the NFL in H1 points per game (6.7) this season.
• Heading into Week 12, the Browns rank 31st in the NFL in points per game (16.2) this season.
• Heading into Week 12, the Steelers rank 1st in the NFL in H2 opponent points per game (6.4) this season.
• Heading into Week 12, the Steelers rank 1st in the NFL in Q3 win percentage (90.0) this season.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns Prediction 

The Steelers roll into this matchup leading the AFC North standings and they have won five games in a row. Pittsburgh has one of the best defensive units in the NFL, but their offense has played very well for the majority of the season. Cleveland only has two wins on the year and they have lost two games in a row by 21 and 17 points. The Browns defense has been disappointing this season and they have allowed at least 24 points in four of their last six games. We are getting a pretty low total in this game and I think the over is worth a look, as I think both offenses can get into the 20’s. Take the over here.