Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction NFL Picks 10/27/24

Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview

The Las Vegas Raiders are 2-5 this season after they lost to the Rams by a score of 20-15 in their last game. Las Vegas trailed 14-6 at halftime and 20-6 in the third quarter, but came up just short in their comeback attempt. The Raiders outgained LA by a total of 317-259, lost the turnover battle 4-1, and went 3-15 on third down in the game. Gardner Minshew threw for 154 yards and three interceptions, while Alexander Mattison rushed for 92 yards in the game. 

Las Vegas also has losses against Pittsburgh, Denver, Carolina, and the Chargers, but they do have two wins against Baltimore and Cleveland. The Las Vegas offense has scored 17.7 points per game with 211.1 passing yards and 85.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 26.1 points per game this season. The Raiders have gone 31.1% on third down and 3-10 on fourth down through seven games. Gardner Minshew has completed 65.5% of his passes for 1,168 yards, four touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Brock Bowers has caught 47 passes for 477 yards and one score. 

Why the Chiefs will cover

• The Chiefs have won each of their last 13 Sunday games played on the West Coast.
• The Raiders have lost each of their last five games in October.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread in each of their last six Sunday games played on the West Coast.
• The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as underdogs against AFC West opponents.
• The Raiders have lost the first half in each of their last five October games as underdogs.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Chiefs' last eight games against AFC West opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last five Sunday games between the Chiefs and Raiders has gone OVER the total points line.

Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Jakobi Meyers has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four home appearances against division opponents.
• Aidan O'Connell has recorded 244+ passing yards in each of the Raiders' last three home games against AFC West opponents.
• Tre Tucker has recorded 41+ receiving yards in four of the Raiders' last five home games.
• Alexander Mattison has recorded 61+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four appearances against AFC West opponents.
• Alexander Mattison has recorded 38+ rushing yards in three of the Raiders' last four games as underdogs.
• Heading into Week 8, Maxx Crosby ranks T1st in the league for tackles for loss (10) this season.

Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts

• Kareem Hunt has scored at least one touchdown in eight of his last nine regular-season appearances with the Chiefs as favorites against AFC opponents.
• Patrick Mahomes has recorded 270+ passing yards in 10 of the Chiefs' last 12 road games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
• Samaje Perine has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last eight October road appearances.
• Kareem Hunt has recorded 69+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight regular-season appearances with the Chiefs as favorites.
• Kareem Hunt has recorded 85+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last nine regular-season appearances with the Chiefs as favorites against AFC opponents.
• Patrick Mahomes has recorded 24+ completions in each of his four previous Week 8 appearances.
• Patrick Mahomes has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Chiefs' four previous Sunday games at Allegiant Stadium.
• Heading into Week 8, Matt Araiza ranks 1st amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (52.3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 8, the Raiders rank 31st in the NFL in average punt return (6.2 yards) this season.
• Heading into Week 8, the Raiders rank 2nd in the NFL in average yards per punt (52.2) this season.
• Heading into Week 8, the Chiefs rank 1st in the NFL in H2 win percentage (100.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 8, the Chiefs rank 3rd in the NFL in time of possession per game (32:19) this season.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction 

Kansas City comes into this matchup with an undefeated record to start the season, despite dealing with some important injuries and Mahomes not playing his best. Kansas City has played very well on the defensive side of the ball and they have allowed 18 points or fewer in four straight games. Las Vegas has lost three games in a row, but they did fight back in their last game against the Rams to make it close. The Raiders are switching back to Minshew at quarterback, who is playing like one of the worst quarterbacks in the league, which will be a huge problem here. Take the Chiefs to pull away in the second half.