Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Prediction NFL Picks 10/6/24

Denver Broncos Betting Preview

The Denver Broncos are 2-2 this season after they defeated the Jets by a score of 10-9 last week. Denver trailed 6-0 at halftime and 9-7 in the fourth quarter, but they kicked a 47-yard field goal with about nine minutes left in the game for the win. The Broncos were outgained by a total of 248-186, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 3-14 on third down in the game. Bo Nix threw for 60 yards and one touchdown, while Courtland Sutton caught three passes for 60 yards and one score. 

Denver defeated Tampa Bay by a score of 26-7 in the game prior to New York, but they lost their first two games against Seattle and Pittsburgh. The Denver offense has scored 15.5 points per game with 159.8 passing yards and 106.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 13.8 points per game this season. The Broncos have gone 24.6% on third down and 4-6 on fourth down through four games. Bo Nix has completed 60.1% of his passes for 660 yards, one touchdown, and four interceptions, while Javonte Williams has rushed for 129 yards this year. 

Why the Broncos will beat the Raiders

• The Raiders have lost 12 of their last 13 games at Empower Field at Mile High following a home win.
• The home team has won 12 of the last 16 games between the Raiders and Broncos.
• The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at Empower Field at Mile High following a win.
• The Broncos have covered the spread in three of their last four games.
• The Raiders have lost the first half in seven of their last eight Sunday road games.
• The Raiders have lost the first quarter in 11 of their last 12 games at Empower Field at Mile High following a home win.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of the Raiders' last 10 games as underdogs following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Broncos' last eight games as home favorites against the Raiders have gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in four of the Broncos' last five October games against AFC West opponents.
• Marvin Mims Jr. has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last four appearances at Empower Field at Mile High.
• Javonte Williams has recorded 48+ rushing and receiving yards in 19 of his 20 previous appearances at Empower Field at Mile High.
• Javonte Williams has recorded 29+ rushing yards in 13 of his 14 previous appearances with the Broncos as home favorites.
• Devaughn Vele ranks T1st in the AFC amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Gardner Minshew II has recorded 201+ passing yards in each of his last six appearances with his team as a road underdog.
• Davante Adams has scored at least one touchdown in six of his seven previous Week 5 appearances.
• Davante Adams has recorded 59+ receiving yards in 14 of his last 15 Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Alexander Mattison has recorded 33+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances following a win.
• Alexander Mattison has recorded 26+ rushing yards in each of his last six October appearances.
• Gardner Minshew II has recorded 20+ completions in each of his last six Sunday appearances with his team as a road underdog.
• A.J. Cole ranks 1st in the AFC amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (52.1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Broncos rank 2nd in the NFL in total punt yards (1139) this season.
• The Broncos rank 31st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (24.6%) this season.
• The Raiders rank 2nd in the NFL in average yards per punt (52.1) this season.
• The Raiders rank 30th in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game (8.8) this season.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Prediction 

Both of these teams are coming off of wins last week, but neither looked very good in the process. Denver only gained 186 total yards, while Las Vegas got the benefit of a very questionable holding call to get their win. The Broncos have been in every game that they have played so far this season, so I expect another close game here. I know the Denver offense doesn’t impress me at all, but they have allowed a total of 29 points in their last three games and face an underwhelming Las Vegas attack. Take the Broncos to get the win.