Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders Prediction NFL Picks 10/6/24

Washington Commanders (3-1) vs Cleveland Browns (1-3)

Game Info: Sunday, October 6, 2024 at 1:00 pm (Northwest Stadium)

Betting Odds: Washington Commanders -3 / Cleveland Browns +3 --- Over/Under: 44.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Cleveland Browns and Washington Commanders meet Sunday in week 5 NFL action at Northwest Stadium. Here’s a Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders Prediction. This article will include a Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders Pick.

Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

The Cleveland Browns are coming off losses to the Giants and Raiders, and they play the Eagles next. The Cleveland Browns have lost 4 of their last 6 road games. Deshaun Watson is completing 61.5 percent of his passes for 727 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Jerry Jeudy and Amari Cooper have combined for 345 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jerome Ford has 17 receptions.

The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 94.8 yards per contest, and Ford leads the way with 203 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 21.8 points and 299 yards per game. Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah leads the Cleveland Browns with 34 tackles, Myles Garrett has 4 sacks and Denzel Ward has 7 pass deflections.

Washington Commanders Betting Preview

The Washington Commanders recently beat the Bengals and Cardinals, and play the Ravens next. The Washington Commanders have lost 7 of their last 8 home games. Jayden Daniels is completing 82.1 percent of his passes for 897 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz have combined for 341 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Austin Ekeler has 9 receptions.

The Washington Commanders ground game is averaging 169.3 yards per contest, and Brain Robinson Jr. leads the way with 307 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Washington is allowing 25.5 points and 357 yards per game. Bobby Wagner leads the Washington Commanders with 38 tackles, Clelin Ferrell has 2 sacks and Benjamin St-Juste has 4 pass deflections.

Why the Washington Commanders Will Win

  • The Browns have lost 43 of their last 47 away games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Commanders have won five of their last six games against AFC opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Commanders have covered the spread in each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Browns have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six Week 5 games as underdogs.
  • The home team has won the first quarter in three of the Browns' last four Week 5 games.
  • The home team has won the first half in four of the Browns' last five Week 5 games.

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

  • Austin Ekeler has recorded 32+ rushing yards in 18 of his last 20 home appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Austin Ekeler has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight October appearances with his team as a favorite.
  • Austin Ekeler has scored at least one touchdown in 17 of his last 18 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
  • Zach Ertz has recorded 34+ receiving yards in each of his last 25 Sunday regular-season appearances with his team as a home favorite.
  • Austin Ekeler has scored two touchdowns in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
  • Austin Ekeler has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four October appearances with his team as a home favorite against AFC opponents.
  • Austin Ekeler ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

  • Deshaun Watson has thrown three or more touchdowns in three of his four previous Week 5 appearances.
  • Jerry Jeudy has recorded 42+ receiving yards in each of his last six appearances in Sunday games played on the East Coast.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 22+ rushing yards in each of his last eight appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Nick Chubb has recorded 101+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine appearances with the Browns as underdogs following a loss.
  • Amari Cooper has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances against the Commanders.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 261+ passing yards in seven of his eight previous October appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 19+ completions in 15 of his last 16 regular season appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Juan Thornhill is just two away from 10 career interceptions.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Commanders rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (100.0%) this season.
  • The Commanders rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (53.5%) this season.
  • The Browns rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (20.8%) this season.
  • The Browns rank 1st in the NFL in red zone percentage (83.3%) this season.

Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders Prediction

The Cleveland Browns just lost to the Raiders, who didn't have Adams or Crosby, and they lost to the Giants before that. The Browns are one of the worst offenses in the league through the first month, and the offensive line is banged up. The Washington Commanders are rolling with 3 straight wins and while the defense is a question mark, Jayden Daniels has this offense humming. The Commanders have been on the road in 3 of their first 4 games, so they should be coming to a packed and motivated crowd. Not sure how anybody can like what they're seeing from the Browns. I'll lay the field goal with the Commanders.

Randy’s Pick Washington Commanders -3

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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