Miami Dolphins vs Seattle Seahawks Prediction NFL Picks 9/22/24

In this article, we will formulate a Miami Dolphins vs Seattle Seahawks prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, September 22nd at Lumen Field in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 3 matchup.

Miami Dolphins Betting Preview

The Miami Dolphins are 1-1 this year after they lost to Buffalo by a score of 31-10 in their last game. Miami tied the game at seven in the first quarter, but they allowed the next 17 points for the loss. Tua was injured in this game and will miss some time, so the Dolphins had to play Skylar Thompson. The Dolphins outgained Buffalo by a total of 351-247, lost the turnover battle 3-0, and went 7-15 on third down in the game. Tua threw three interceptions, while Thompson threw for 80 yards on eight completions. 

Miami defeated Jacksonville by a score of 20-17 in week one, but having to start the backup quarterback is less than ideal. The Miami offense has scored 15 points per game with 265.5 passing yards and 110 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 24 points per game this year. The Dolphins have gone 48.4% on third down and 1-7 on fourth down through two games. Skylar Thompson has completed 57.1% of his passes for 80 yards, while Tyreek Hill has caught 10 passes for 154 yards and one score. 

Seattle Seahawks Betting Preview

The Seattle Seahawks are 2-0 this season after they defeated New England by a score of 23-20 last week. Seattle trailed 20-17 late in the fourth quarter, but they got the ball back and hit a field goal with 55 seconds left to force overtime. In the extra period, the Seahawks were able to get a stop and kick a field goal for the win. The Seahawks outgained NE by a total of 358-310, didn’t turn the ball over, and went 7-15 on third down in the game. Geno Smith threw for 327 yards and one touchdown, while DK Metcalf caught 10 passes for 129 yards and one score. 

Seattle defeated Denver by a score of 26-20 in week one, and they will look to make it three wins in a row here. The Seattle offense has scored 24.5 points per game with 235 passing yards and 96 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 20 points per game this season. The Seahawks have gone 40.7% on third down and 1-2 on fourth down so far this season. Geno Smith has completed 73.9% of his passes for 498 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Kenneth Walker III has rushed for 103 yards and one score. 

Why the Seahawks will cover

• The Dolphins have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Seahawks have won nine of their last 10 games against AFC East opponents.
• The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games.
• The Seahawks have covered the spread in each of their last four home games after coming off overtime.
• The Seahawks have won the first quarter in four of their last five home games after coming off overtime.
• The Seahawks have won the first half in each of their last four Week 3 home games against AFC opponents.

Why the Dolphins will cover

• The Seahawks have lost five of their last six games as home favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Dolphins have won six of their last eight games played as underdogs on the West Coast.
• The Seahawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Sunday games as favorites.
• The Dolphins have covered the spread in each of their last four Week 3 games.
• The Dolphins have won the first half in five of their last six games against NFC opponents.
• The Dolphins have won the first quarter in three of their last four Week 3 games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Dolphins’ last five games played as underdogs on the West Coast have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Seahawks’ last four games in September has gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the last six Sunday games at Lumen Field have gone OVER the total points line.

Seattle Seahawks Player Prop Facts

• Kenneth Walker III has scored a touchdown in each of his last four home appearances.
• Geno Smith has recorded 18+ rushing yards in four of the Seahawks’ last five home games against AFC opponents.
• Geno Smith has recorded 296+ passing yards in each of his four previous Week 3 home appearances.
• Zach Charbonnet has recorded 28+ receiving yards in each of the Seahawks’ last four games.
• Kenneth Walker III has recorded 109+ rushing and receiving yards in three of his last four appearances at Lumen Field.
• Geno Smith has recorded 23+ completions in four of the Seahawks’ last five games as favorites following a win.
• D.K. Metcalf is just one away from 50 career touchdowns (including playoffs).

Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts

• Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 280+ passing yards in seven of the Dolphins’ last nine games against NFC opponents.
• Odell Beckham Jr. has recorded 56+ receiving yards in each of his seven previous Week 3 appearances.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 21+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
• Tyreek Hill has scored two touchdowns in three of his last four appearances in Sunday games played on the West Coast.
• Tyreek Hill has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last seven appearances on the West Coast.
• De’Von Achane has recorded 73+ rushing yards in each of his last three Sunday road appearances.
• Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 23+ completions in three of his last four appearances with the Dolphins as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• Tua Tagovailoa has thrown three or more touchdowns in two of the Dolphins’ last three September games as road underdogs.
• Tua Tagovailoa has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (3 vs Bills, Week 2).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Seahawks are one of only 28 teams in the NFL with a 100% success rate on extra points this season.
• The Seahawks rank T28th in the NFL in red zone percentage (25.0%) this season.
• The Dolphins rank 31st in the NFL in H1 opponent points per game (20.5) this season.
• The Dolphins rank 3rd in the NFL in time of possession per game (34:44) this season.

Miami Dolphins vs Seattle Seahawks Prediction 

Miami comes into this game after getting blown out at home by Buffalo last week, and they will have their backup quarterback under center. The Dolphins will try to maintain one of the best passing attacks in the NFL, but they are definitely going to take a step back. Seattle was fortunate to escape New England with a win last week and they have the benefit of Miami’s quarterback situation, so they have a great chance to get to 3-0. Miami knows they can’t get into a high-scoring game without Tua, so they are going to try and control possession by running the ball. I think we are going to see a lower-scoring game, so I am taking the under here.