Mar 29, 2026; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Nuggets forward Zeke Nnaji (22) controls the ball under pressure from Golden State Warriors center Kristaps Porzingis (7) in the second quarter at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction 10/26/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

Golden State vs Denver Odds and Matchup Info
MATCHUP Golden State Warriors Denver Nuggets
Team Records 0-3 1-1
Spread +7.5 -105 -7.5 -115
Moneyline +245 -305
Total Over 234.5 (-105) Under 234.5 (-115)
Where Ball Arena, Denver, CO
When Monday, October 26, 2026
Time 10:00 PM EDT
TV NBCSN

The Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets meet Monday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Warriors vs. Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Warriors vs. Nuggets Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors lost to the Suns and Grizzlies, and they play the Timberwolves next. The Warriors have lost 10 of their last 11 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 111.7 points on 42.5 percent shooting and allowing 123 points on 53.8 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 23.5 points and 2.5 assists, while Yaxel Lendeborg averages 18.7 points and 4.3 assists. Brandin Podziemski is the third double-digit scorer, and Brandon Williams is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 38.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.3 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets lost to the Thunder, beat the Pelicans, and they play the Suns next. The Nuggets have won 14 of their last 15 regular season games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 112.5 points on 43.6 percent shooting and allowing 115.5 points on 44.3 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 24 points and 11 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 24 points and 6.5 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and DeMar DeRozan is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 29.9 percent from beyond the arc and 72.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 27.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 52 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last nine games at Ball Arena against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Warriors have lost each of their last six night games at Ball Arena.
  • The home team has covered the spread in five of the Nuggets’ last six games.
  • The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five Monday games as underdogs.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

  • The Nuggets have lost each of their last two games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Warriors have won three of their last five games as road underdogs against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight night games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in nine of the Warriors’ last 12 games.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of the Nuggets’ last 10 home games following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Four of the Warriors’ last five road games against the Nuggets following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank 30th for fast break points (14) this season.
  • The Nuggets rank 1st for second-chance points per game (26.0) this season.
  • The Warriors have used three different starting fives this season- the most in the league.
  • The Warriors rank T29th in the league for opponent field goals made per game this season (45.3).

Warriors vs Nuggets Injury Report

The Nuggets will be without Spencer Jones and Julian Strawther. Alpha Diallo and Cameron Johnson are doubtful.

The Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler, Moses Moody, and Kristaps Porzingis. Charles Bassey and Brandon Williams are probable. Gui Santos is questionable with a knee issue.

Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction

The Nuggets need to start covering numbers or relying on these big lines isn’t going to fly over the course of the season. However, I said from the start of the season the Warriors will be one of the worst teams in the league, and theyve done nothing through three gmes to change that view. Throw in the injuries to key players, and this Warriors rotation is awful. Thick number, but this has more to do with the Warriors than anything else. This isn’t a good team. Give me the Nuggets in a comfortable home win.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Denver -7.5

Hot Cappers