Thunder vs Trail Blazers Prediction 11/11/2026 NBA Picks Today

Thunder vs Trail Blazers Prediction

I’ve been on the Trail Blazers a lot this season and will continue to do so. Heck, we were on the Trail Blazers last night and cashed rather easily. Usually, games are more competitive the second time around, so don’t expect OKC to go down quietly after playing Portland last night. However, I’m still grabbing the free bucket with the Trail Blazers. These Trail Blazers are a good squad that improved in the offseason after making the playoffs with a young core.

While the Thunder can never be underestimated, they’re an injured team, which makes them more vulnerable than before. It’s hard to compete night to night in today’s league when down many rotation players. OKC now has three road losses. I’ll say it again, the Trail Blazers are legit. Give me the bucket with the Trail Blazers, and I’ll be on the ML as well.

Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Wizards, lost to the Trail Blazers, and they play the Clippers next. The Thunder have won 27 of their last 33 regular season games. The Thunder are 3-3 SU on the road, 5-0 SU at home, and 7-4 ATS this season.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 111.4 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 106 points on 41 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 29.9 points per game and 4.9 assists. Ajay Mitchell is averaging 18.9 points per game and 3.7 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is averaging 12 points per game and 9.3 rebounds. Jared McCain is averaging 12.1 points per game and 3 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 82.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.1 rebounds per game.

Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview

The Portland Trail Blazers lost to the Spurs, beat the Thunder, and they play the Kings next. The Trail Blazers have won 17 of their last 24 games. The Trail Blazers are 5-1 SU on the road, 2-2 SU at home, and 6-4 ATS on the season.

The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 119.7 points per game on 47 percent shooting and allowing 112.7 points per game on 44.7 percent shooting. Deni Avdija is averaging 22.3 points per game and 6.4 rebounds. Damian Lillard is averaging 19.4 points per game and 3.2 rebounds. Ja Morant is averaging 15.8 points per game and 5.5 assists. Toumani Camara is averaging 13.1 points per game and 3.3 rebounds. The Portland Trail Blazers are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Portland Trail Blazers are allowing 32.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.1 rebounds per game.

Thunder vs Trail Blazers Injury Report

Jaylin Williams is out for the Thunder with a back issue. Jalen Williams is out with an ankle injury. Cason Wallace is out with a shoulder issue. Thomas Sorber is out with a knee injury. Chet Holmgren is out with a knee injury.

The Trail Blazers will be without Vit Krejci due to an ankle fracture. Ja Morant is out with a hamstring injury. Shaedon Sharpe is out with a torn meniscus.

Why the Portland Trail Blazers will win

• The Trail Blazers have won nine of their last 10 home games on the second leg of a back-to-back after winning as underdogs.
• The Thunder have lost four of their last five road games against Northwest Division opponents.
• The Trail Blazers have covered the spread in 11 of their last 12 games as home underdogs against Northwest Division opponents.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games at Moda Center.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 12 games against Northwest Division opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Trail Blazers have lost five of their last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Thunder.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road favorites after losing as favorites.
• The Trail Blazers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Thunder’s last eight road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Trail Blazers’ last five games at Moda Center have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Trail Blazers players have recorded the fewest games with 30+ points (0) this season.
• Trail Blazers players have recorded the fewest games with 40+ points (0) this season.
• The Thunder rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (43.4).
• The Thunder have allowed the fewest games with 40+ points (0) this season.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Trail Blazers +1.5