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San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 2/11/2026 Today’s NBA Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 37-16 | 29-25 |
| Spread | -6.5 -115 | +6.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | -245 | +200 |
| Total | Over 220.5 (-112) | Under 220.5 (-108) |
| Where | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA | |
| When | Wednesday, February 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs beat the Mavs and Lakers, and they play the Suns next. The Spurs have won 10 of their last 13 games.
The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 117.7 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 112.2 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 23.9 points and 11.1 rebounds, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 19.5 points and 6.2 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.4 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.6 rebounds per game.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors lost to the Lakers, beat the Grizzlies, and they’ll play the Celtics next. The Warriors have won 16 of their last 26 games.
The Golden State Warriors are averaging 116.2 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 114 points on 47 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27.2 points and 4.8 assists, while Brandin Podziemski averages 12.1 points and 3.6 assists. De’Anthony Melton is the third double-digit scorer, and Moses Moody is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 81.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Spurs have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against Pacific Division opponents following a win.
- The Warriors have won 12 of their last 13 home games against Spurs teams that held a winning record.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Warriors’ last four games at Chase Center.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as favorites following a road win.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Spurs have won each of their last eight games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Warriors have lost five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of the Warriors’ last 10 games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Spurs’ last eight road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Warriors rank 30th for points in the paint per game (43.4) this season.
- This season, 42.3% of the Warriors’ scoring has come from beyond the three-point line – highest mark in the league.
- The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (21.2).
- The Spurs have missed the playoffs in six consecutive seasons – second-longest active streak in the NBA.
San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Injury Report
The Warriors will be without Seth Curry, Stephen Curry, Kristaps Porzingis, L.J. Cryer, and Jimmy Butler.
David Jones Garcia and Lindy Waters III are out for the Spurs.
San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
The Spurs played last night but didn’t have to kill themselves against a depleted Lakers squad. This young Spurs team should be fresh and ready to go. The Warriors are banged up and should’ve lost to the Grizzlies as a nine-point favorite their last time out. I expect the Spurs to see a similar result as they saw against the Lakers last night. An undermanned team that can’t hang. I’ll lay the points with the Spurs.
