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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 4/2/25 NBA Picks

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Denver Nuggets (47-29) vs San Antonio Spurs (31-44)

April 2, 2025 at 09:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -8.5 — Over/Under: 229

(Get latest betting odds)

The San Antonio Spurs and Denver Nuggets meet on Wednesday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview 

The San Antonio Spurs lost to the Magic and Warriors, and then play the Cavs, Trail Blazers, and Clippers next. The Spurs have lost five straight games. 

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 114.2 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 116.8 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Devin Vassell is averaging 16.5 points and 4 rebounds, while Stephon Castle is averaging 14.2 points and 3.7 assists. Keldon Johnson is the third double-digit scorer, and Harrison Barnes is dishing out 1.7 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free-throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets beat the Jazz, lost to the Timberwolves, and they play the Warriors, Pacers, and Kings next. The Nuggets are coming off a double-overtime loss where Jokic had a 60-point triple-double. 

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.9 points on 50.7 percent shooting and allowing 116.7 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.3 points and 12.8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.6 points and 3.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Christian Braun is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last 11 night games following a home loss.
  • The Spurs have lost each of their last 10 games at Ball Arena following a loss.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

  • The Nuggets have lost 20 of their last 24 games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Spurs.
  • The road team has won each of the Spurs’ last three games.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as home favorites after losing as favorites.
  • The Spurs have covered the spread in six of their last seven games against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (31.9).
  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.6).
  • The Spurs rank 28th in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (46.0).
  • The Spurs rank 3rd in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.6).

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II and Julian Strawther. Aaron Gordon and Jamal Murray are questionable.

The San Antonio Spurs will be without Riley Minix, De’Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, and Charles Bassey. 

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

I’m not sure what to expect from the Nuggets, as they’re on the end of a back-to-back that included double overtime. The Nuggets had that game won several times, and they wasted a 60-point triple-double from Jokic. Westbrook had a historically bad sequence at the end that just boggles the mind. The Nuggets starters logged heavy minutes last night, and for it to go to waste could lead to a sleepless night. With all of that said, the Spurs played last night as well, and they’re an undermanned team that’s waiting for the season to end. The Nuggets are loaded with vets, and I’d assume they can get off the canvas to put away a Spurs side that’s going nowhere. I’ll lay the points with the Nuggets, even though I don’t love it.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Denver Nuggets -8.5

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