Pelicans vs Warriors Prediction 11/9/2026 NBA Picks Today

Pelicans vs Warriors Prediction

I called it with the Pelicans. Right when you’re ready to believe the Pelicans can turn the corner, they let you down. The Pelicans won four straight games and then followed that up with losses to the Timberwolves and Clippers. This just isn’t a serious franchise. I was critical of the Warriors entering the season, but give them credit for seven straight wins.

The Warriors have also covered 7 of their last 8 games. The Warriors are possibly the hottest team in the league, and they’re going up against a Pelicans defense that’s 26th in points allowed and 24th in defensive field goal percentage. It’s a thick line, but nobody should be eager to step in front of the Warriors right now. Better yet, it’s hard to trust the Pelicans on a night-to-night basis. I’m laying the chalk with the Warriors at home on Monday night.

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Timberwolves and Clippers, and they play the Nets next. The Pelicans have won 4 of their last 6 games. The Pelicans are 1-3 SU on the road, 3-3 SU at home, and 6-4 ATS on the season.

The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 120.5 points per game on 48.6 percent shooting and allowing 120.8 points per game on 47.9 percent shooting. Zion Williamson is averaging 20.6 points and 5.4 rebounds per game. Dejounte Murray is averaging 16.3 points and 5.5 rebounds per game. Saddiq Bey is averaging 16.4 points and 2.1 assists per game. Jeremiah Fears is averaging 14.8 points and 4.6 assists per game. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 32.9 percent from beyond the arc and 83 percent from the free-throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 32.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors beat the Heat and Magic, and they play the Rockets next. The Warriors have won 7 straight games. The Warriors are 2-2 SU on the road, 5-1 SU at home this season, and 7-3 ATS.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 118.6 points per game on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 113.6 points per game on 46.3 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 31.3 points and 4.6 assists per game. Yaxel Lendeborg averages 21.2 points and 4 assists per game. Brandin Podziemski is averaging 15.8 points and 5.4 rebounds per game. Brandon Williams is averaging 11.1 points and 2.6 assists per game. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 39.5 percent from beyond the arc and 81.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.

Pelicans vs Warriors Injury Report

Jimmy Butler is out for the Warriors with an ACL injury. Moses Moody is out with a patellar tendon injury. Kristaps Porzingis is not with the team. Gui Santos is probable despite knee tendinitis.

Yves Missi is out for the Pelicans with a knee injury.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Pelicans have lost each of their last nine road games following a loss.
• The Warriors have won 19 of their last 20 home games against the Pelicans following a win.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games.
• The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 road games.

Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win

• The Warriors have lost each of their last four home games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Pelicans have won five of their last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back after losing as favorites.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Pelicans have covered the spread in five of their last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back after losing as favorites.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Warriors’ last nine games as favorites against the Pelicans have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of the Pelicans’ last five games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• De’Anthony Melton ranks 11th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.5) this season.
• Yaxel Lendeborg ranks 2nd amongst qualified rookies for points per game (21.2) this season.

New Orleans Pelicans Player Facts

• Karlo Matkovic ranks 2nd in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (53.3%) this season.
• Derik Queen is one of only six qualified Centers in the league shooting at least 80% from the free-throw line this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Warriors have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q1 deficit this season – trailing by 23 points @ Lakers on October 30.
• The Warriors rank 1st in the league for H2 points per game this season (60.7).
• The Pelicans rank 1st in the league for free throws made per game this season (26.3).
• The Pelicans have suffered the largest comeback loss when leading through Q3 this season – led by 19 points @ Nuggets on October 24.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Golden State -9.5