Jun 16, 2025; Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA; Indiana Pacers forward Pascal Siakam (43) looks to move the ball past Oklahoma City Thunder guard Alex Caruso (9) during the fourth quarter in game five of the 2025 NBA Finals at Paycom Center. Mandatory Credit: Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 06/19/2025 Picks

Pick details

Oklahoma City (68-14) vs Indiana (50-32)

June 19, 2025 at 08:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Indiana +6.5 — Over/Under: +222.5

(Get latest betting odds)


The Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers meet Thursday in the NBA Finals Game 6 at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder look to win their first title since the 1978-79 season when they were the Seattle SuperSonics. The Thunder are 5-4 on the road in these playoffs. The Thunder lost their only game 6 in these playoffs. 

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 116.4 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 107 points on 43.4 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.4 points and 6.5 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21.7 points and 5.7 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Alex Caruso is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 80.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview 

The Indiana Pacers need a win to force a game 7 on Sunday. The Pacers are 7-3 SU at home this postseason. The Pacers haven’t lost three straight games since March 6-10. The Pacers won their only game 6 in these playoffs.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 115.5 points on 49 percent shooting and allowing 113.5 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 21 points and 6.1 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 17.9 points and 5.8 rebounds. Myles Turner is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Nesmith is grabbing 5.8 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

The Pacers have won each of their last eight games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse following a loss.
The Thunder have lost each of their last four games as road favorites following a win.
The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last seven playoff games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse following a loss.
The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as road favorites following a win.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

The Thunder have won 21 of their last 23 games against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Pacers have lost three of their last four games against Northwest Division opponents.
The Thunder have covered the spread in 12 of their last 14 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four NBA Finals games as underdogs.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

Bennedict Mathurin ranks T9th in the league for fast break points (277) this season.
Aaron Nesmith ranks 10th amongst qualified players for 3P% (43.1%) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

Jalen Williams ranks 7th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.6) this season.
Luguentz Dort ranks 26th amongst qualified players for 3P% (41.2%) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Injury Report

The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic due to a knee injury.

The Pacers will be without Isaiah Jackson due to an Achilles injury. Jarace Walker is out for a sixth straight game due to an ankle injury. Walker has played 117 minutes in these playoffs, scoring 36 points, grabbing 21 rebounds, and dishing eight assists.

Tyrese Haliburton is questionable with a calf injury. Haliburton played 34 minutes in game 5 and didn’t score a field goal. The Pacers were 4-5 this season without Haliburton. 

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

The Thunder are the safe pick because they’re 65-35-4 ATS on the season. However, I’m once again grabbing the points with the Pacers. The Thunder haven’t been good on the road in these playoffs, and they’re 1-8 ATS on the road. The Pacers should’ve won game 4, and they had their chances in game 5 despite Haliburton being a decoy. It was a two point game late in the fourth quarter.

The Pacers have shown to have enough offense without Haliburton, and potentially more minutes for T.J. McConnell wouldn’t be a bad thing. The Pacers are 9-5 SU in their last 14 games as an underdog. The Pacers have won 12 of their last 17 games when an underdog of five or more points. Don’t write the Pacers off just yet. Give me the points. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Indiana +6.5

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