Nuggets vs Rockets Prediction 11/9/2026 NBA Picks Today

Nuggets vs Rockets Prediction

We’ve been on the Rockets a lot this season out of the gate, and despite back-to-back losses and failed covers, they’re 7-3 SU and ATS. I’m not going to let a shaky end to the week knock me off this team. We’re making money with the Rockets. The Nuggets in the underdog role is usually attractive, but there’s a reason this line is so massive. The Nuggets have nearly their entire rotation on the injury report. Usually, when you see an entire starting five on the injury report, it’s because theyre treating the game like a rest day.

It’s clear the Nuggets are going to miss players, and oddsmakers are protecting themselves. Of course, check the injury report for updates before betting anything, but at the time of this writing, the Nuggets are likely going to be undermanned. I’m going to lay the points with the Rockets.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Raptors and Pacers, and they play the Grizzlies next. The Nuggets have won 18 of their last 21 regular season games. The Nuggets are 2-1 SU on the road, 2-2 SU at home, and 4-4 ATS this season.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 115.3 points per game on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 113.3 points per game on 46.5 percent shooting. Jamal Murray is averaging 24.3 points and 5.5 rebounds per game. Nikola Jokic is averaging 22.9 points and 10.1 rebounds per game. Christian Braun is averaging 13.5 points and 2.1 assists per game. Aaron Gordon is averaging 12.3 points and 5.3 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 81.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.8 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets lost to the Timberwolves and Suns, and they play the Warriors next. The Rockets have won 16 of their last 20 games. The Rockets are 3-2 SU on the road, 4-1 SU at home, and 7-3 ATS this season.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 116 points per game on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 107 points per game on 45.8 percent shooting. Alperen Sengun is averaging 21.5 points per game and 8.8 rebounds. Kevin Durant is averaging 20.8 points per game and 5.7 rebounds. Jabari Smith Jr. is averaging 17.6 points per game and 6.1 rebounds. Amen Thompson is averaging 15.6 points per game and 6.5 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 37.6 percent from beyond the arc and 82 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 31.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game.

Nuggets vs Rockets Prediction

Christian Braun is questionable for the Nuggets with a calf issue. DeMar DeRozan is questionable with back spasms. Aaron Gordon is questionable with lower body management. Cameron Johnson is questionable with lower body management. Nikola Jokic is questionable with an elbow injury. Jamal Murray is questionable with a shin issue. Julian Strawther is out with a knee sprain.

The Rockets are without Steven Adams due to a soleus strain. Clint Capela is out with an ankle sprain.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Rockets have won 11 of their last 12 home games against Western Conference opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last six games as home favorites against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in 16 of their last 21 games as road underdogs against Southwest Division opponents following a win.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Rockets have lost three of their last four games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road underdogs against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as favorites following a road loss.

Total Points Facts

• Five of the Nuggets’ last six road games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of the Rockets’ last 10 home games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

• Kevin Durant ranks T9th in the league for fast break points (37) this season.
• Amen Thompson is one of only 10 qualified Guards in the league shooting at least 50% from the field this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (21.0).
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for Q2 win percentage this season (80.0%).
• The Nuggets rank 29th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.5).
• The Nuggets rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (15.0).

Randy Chambers's Pick: Houston -8.5