Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction 11/11/2026 NBA Picks Today

Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction

The Nuggets have ruled out Julian Strawther again, while the Grizzlies are still missing Quinten Post and Scotty Pippen Jr with Isaiah Stewart listed as questionable.

The Nuggets have been able to win games despite playing below their best, but their fans might be a little concerned after what they saw from the Nuggets in an ugly loss to the Rockets on Monday. The Grizzlies have cooled off since their hot start to the season, but they looked great in their big win over the Raptors, and they could pull off the upset at home. This is a tricky one, but I get a feeling that the Nuggets come out swinging and bounce back with a much-needed win in this one, so I will lay the points with the Nuggets.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets have been in decent form as they’ve won four of their past six games overall, but they will be hoping to bounce back in this one after getting stopped in their tracks by the Rockets in a 110-100 road defeat on Monday. Jamal Murray led the team with 38 points on 14 of 23 shooting while Nikola Jokic tallied 25 points with 16 rebounds and nine assists on 11 of 21 shooting, but no other player scored more than eight points.

As a team, the Nuggets shot 45 percent from the field and eight of 29 from the 3-point line as they clawed their way back from an early 19-point deficit to tie the score late in the third quarter, before the Rockets went on another 11-2 run to put the Nuggets behind once again. Christian Braun had a rough game as he shot just two of seven from the field for his four points, while Aaron Gordon scored just three points on one of six shooting.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies were struggling for a while as they dropped three games in a row, but they will be feeling better after blowing past the Raptors in a 118-102 road win on Monday. Ty Jerome led the team with 27 points, Cameron Boozer added 22 points with seven rebounds and eight assists, while Jerami Grant provided the spark off the bench with 17 points on six-of-nine shooting.

As a team, the Grizzlies shot a healthy 53 percent from the field and 16 of 34 from the 3-point line as they went on an 18-5 run in the second quarter to jump out in front, but it was still a close contest until the Grizzlies closed the final 7:28 on a 15-7 run to make it look easy in the end.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The Grizzlies have won each of their last two games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Nuggets have lost four of their last five road games following a loss.
• The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last six night games following a road win.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 10 games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Nuggets have won each of their last six games against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs following a win.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Grizzlies’ last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Grizzlies’ last four games at FedExForum following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the Nuggets’ last seven road games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Peter Tran's Pick: Denver -4.5