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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 5/22/25 NBA Picks
Pick details
Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) vs Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33)
May 22, 2025 at 08:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5 — Over/Under: 214.5
The Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Thursday in the NBA playoffs Game 2 at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves hope to tie up the series and steal home court. The Timberwolves have won three of their last four road games. The Timberwolves haven’t lost two straight games since March 17-19.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 106.4 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 102.3 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 25.7 points and 8.1 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 24.3 points and 5.5 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder look for another win to take a solid 2-0 lead. The Thunder are 6-1 at home in these playoffs. The Thunder have won four straight home games and by an average of 27 points.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 116.8 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 102.8 points on 40.7 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 29.2 points and 6.6 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 19.6 points and 5.6 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 8.4 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 32.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won seven of their last eight games at Paycom Center.
- The Timberwolves have lost five of their six previous Western Conference Finals road games.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last six games as home favorites following a home win.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six playoff road games following a loss.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against the Thunder following a loss.
- The Thunder have lost three of their last five playoff games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as favorites following a win.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Isaiah Joe ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.3) this season.
- Jalen Williams ranks 7th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.6) this season.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Mike Conley ranks 5th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (4.3) this season.
- Jaden McDaniels rank T8th in the league for total steals + blocks (184) this season.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
The Timberwolves don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
As I’ve said endless times, the Thunder are the safest bet in sports as they’re now 60-31-4 ATS on the season. The Thunder have also won their last four home games by an average of 27 points. The Thunder should be favored and there’s a lot telling us this will be another comfortable win. With that said, I still like the Timberwolves and the points as I think they’re too good of a team to turn down in the big underdog role. The Timberwolves looked in good shape through the first half of game 1 but completely fell apart in the second. While credit goes to OKC, I also don’t believe the Timberwolves will shoot 29 percent from three all series long. Reid and DiVincenzo are much better than what they’ve shown recently. The Timberwolves are also a feisty group that has had great road success in the playoffs the last two seasons. I’m not going to panic from one game. So, while the Thunder have been cash cows the last two years, I’m grabbing the points with the Timberwolves.