Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Prediction 4/10/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Houston Rockets meet Friday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Pick.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves lost to the Magic, beat the Pacers and play the Pelicans next. The Timberwolves have lost 4 of their last 5 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 117.9 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 114.4 points on 46 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 29.5 points and 5.1 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 20.9 points and 5.1 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.6 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets beat the Suns and 76ers, and they play the Grizzlies next. The Rockets have won 8 straight games.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 114.8 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 109.9 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 25.8 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 20.5 points and 8.9 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 76.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48 rebounds per game.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Timberwolves have lost each of their last eight night games at Toyota Center following a road loss.
• The Rockets have won each of their last seven games following a win.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last four home games against Northwest Division opponents.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at Toyota Center when playing with a rest advantage.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won seven of their last nine games as road underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Rockets have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Rockets’ last nine games as favorites following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Timberwolves’ last five games against Southwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockets have suffered the largest comeback loss from a HT lead this season – led by 22 points @ Pelicans on December 18.
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for Q3 opponent points per game this season (26.8).
• The Timberwolves rank 29th in the league for free throw percentage this season (75.2%).
• The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for Q4 points per game this season (29.4).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Injury Report

The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet and Steven Adams.

Ayo Dosunmu, Bones Hyland, and Julius Randle are questionable for the Timberwolves.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Prediction

The Rockets are on the end of a back to back but theyre playing their best ball of the season and theyre on the Lakers heels to possibly take the fourth seed and get home court in the playoffs. The Timberwolves are stuck in the sixth seed so theres nothing to play for and this line suggests theyre going to sit guys. With the the Rockets form over the last two weeks this should be a comfortable win. Of course check the injury report before betting. Still this line suggests the Timberwolves will be resting most of their rotation.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Houston Rockets -10.5