Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction NBA Picks 12/23/24

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Atlanta Hawks (14-15) vs Minnesota Timberwolves (14-13)

December 23, 2024 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Hawks +3.5— Over/Under: 224.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Timberwolves travel to the State Farm Arena to battle the Atlanta Hawks on Monday night. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks Pick.

Minnesota Timberwolves 

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been in decent shape as they’ve won six of their past nine games, but they will be looking to avoid a third straight defeat after getting beaten by the Warriors in a 113-103 loss on Saturday. Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo scored 19 points each, Rudy Gobert added 18 points with 12 rebounds while Julius Randle and Naz Reid scored 16 points apiece. As a team, the Timberwolves shot just 41 percent from the field and 14 of 38 from the 3-point line as they worked hard to overcome a 21-point deficit, only to allow the Warriors to pull away in the fourth quarter where the Timberwolves allowed 34 points. 

Atlanta Hawks 

Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks look to have cooled off from their six-game win streak as they’ve lost four of their past five games and are now on a three-game skid following a 128-112 loss to the Grizzlies on Saturday. De’Andre Hunter led the team with 26 points on nine of 14 shooting off the bench, Dyson Daniels tallied 15 points with six assists and six steals while Jalen Johnson chipped in with 13 points, 11 rebounds, and eight assists. As a team, the Hawks shot 48 percent from the field and 14 of 38 from the 3-point line, but they played next to no defense at the start of the game and were always fighting an uphill battle after getting outscored by 73-49 in the first half. 
 

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

  • The Hawks have lost each of their last six games against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Timberwolves have won each of their last seven Monday night games.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games at State Farm Arena against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents after losing as favorites.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Hawks’ last six games against Western Conference opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Timberwolves’ last eight games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

  • Jalen Johnson is one of only eight qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals, and 1.0 blocks this season.
  • Zaccharie Risacher ranks 6th amongst qualified rookies for points per game (10.8) this season.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

  • Naz Reid ranks T4th amongst qualified Centers for FT% (87.5%) this season.
  • Mike Conley ranks 17th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Hawks rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (41.5).
  • The Atlanta Hawks are the only team to lose a home game against the Wizards this season.
  • The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for Q4 opponent points per game this season (26.0).
  • The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for H2 opponent points per game this season (52.7).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

The Timberwolves are still missing Joe Ingles and they have Daishen Nix listed as questionable, while the Hawks have listed Bogdan Bogdanovic and Trae Young as questionable. This is definitely a game where you want to check the lineups before tipoff, but assuming that Young sits out again, I have to side with the Timberwolves to bounce back into form with a much-needed win and cover on the road. 

Peter Tran's Pick: Minnesota -3.5

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