Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction NBA Picks 11/27/24

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Charlotte Hornets (6-11) vs Miami Heat (7-7)

November 27, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Charlotte Hornets +3.5 — Over/Under:

(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat travel to the Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Wednesday night. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Pick.

Miami Heat 

The Miami Heat have been in decent form as they’ve won three of their last five games overall, but they will be looking to bounce back in this one after outlasting the Bucks in a 106-103 defeat last night. Jimmy Butler led the team with 23 points and five assists, Tyler Herro added 18 points with five assists while Terry Rozier chipped in with 17 points on seven of nine shooting off the bench. As a team, the Heat shot just 45 percent from the field and 10 of 29 from the 3-point line as they suffered another slow start and had to claw their way back from an early 22-point deficit, only to come up just short with the clock expiring. The Heat will face the Raptors following this one.

Charlotte Hornets 

Meanwhile, the Charlotte Hornets have been in a rut as they’ve lost six of their last eight games overall and they will be hoping to snap a two-game skid after getting beaten by the Magic in a 95-84 loss on Monday. LaMelo Ball led the team with 44 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists on 17 of 30 shooting, Brandon Miller added 20 points while no other player finished in double figures in scoring. As a team, the Hornets shot just 41 percent from the field and seven of 32 from the 3-point line as they played great defense early on to lead for most of the contest, until the fourth quarter where they allowed 37 points to get blown out in the end. Josh Green had a rough night as he scored just two points on one of seven shooting. 

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won 12 of their last 13 night games against the Hornets.
  • The Hornets have lost eight of their last nine home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites following a loss.
  • The Hornets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Spectrum Center against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Heat’s last eight night games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Six of the Hornets’ last seven home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Hornets rank 2nd in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (44.0).
  • The Hornets rank 29th in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (18.7).
  • The Heat rank T2nd in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (66.7%).
  • The Heat rank 29th for second-chance points (169) this season.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction

The Heat are still slightly shorthanded with Dru Smith still out, while the Hornets are still missing Tre Mann and Grant Williams. The Heat come into this meeting as the team in better form, but they will still be hurting after falling just short to the Bucks last night, while the Hornets have continued their nosedive with an 11-point defeat to the Magic despite 44 points from Ball who has been on fire lately. 

Peter Tran's Pick: Miami -3.5

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