Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 2/11/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Memphis Grizzlies and Denver Nuggets meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Trail Blazers and Warriors, and they play the Jazz next. The Grizzlies have lost 15 of their last 21 games.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 115.3 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 117 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Ty Jerome is averaging 19.5 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 19.5 points and 8.1 assists. Santi Aldama is the third double-digit scorer, and Cedric Coward is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 79.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.8 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets lost to the Cavs, beat the Bulls, and they play the Clippers next. The Nuggets have won 11 of their last 19 games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.7 points on 49.6 percent shooting and allowing 116.2 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.6 points and 12.2 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 26 points and 4.3 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Peyton Watson is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 39.5 percent from beyond the arc and 81.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Grizzlies have lost 13 of their last 14 road games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
• The Nuggets have won 12 of their last 13 home games against the Grizzlies.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last six games against the Grizzlies at Ball Arena.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The Grizzlies have won nine of their last 11 night games against the Nuggets following a road loss.
• The Nuggets have lost four of their last five games.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites after losing as favorites.
• The Grizzlies have covered the spread in four of their last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Grizzlies’ last six games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Nuggets’ last nine night games against Southwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

• Tim Hardaway Jr. ranks 15th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.7) this season.
• Bruce Brown leads all Nuggets players for steals per 36 minutes (1.6) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (39.5%).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for true shooting percentage this season (61.4%).
• The Grizzlies are one of only two teams to record five or more losses when leading by a margin of 10+ points at HT this season.
• The Grizzlies rank 28th in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (14.4).

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

Tamar Bates, Aaron Gordon, and Peyton Watson are out for the Nuggets. Spencer Jones is questionable.

The Grizzlies will be without Brandon Clarke, Zach Edey, Ja Morant, and Santi Aldama. Walter Clayton Jr. and Cedric Coward are doubtful.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Grizzlies are a team that’s going nowhere fast, and their injury report remains a joke. However, the Nuggets have been trying to stay afloat for weeks now, given their injury situation. The Nuggets have also lost 4 of their last 5 games while the defense is heading in the wrong direction. While the Grizzlies aren’t winning, they have covered 4 of their last 5 games due to these inflated lines. I’m sure the Nuggets would just be happy to get out with a win. This line is too steep. Give me the points with the Grizzlies.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +13.5