Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction 11/4/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction

The Spurs are 6-0 SU and ATS in their last six games against the Mavericks. It makes sense they’re comfortable favorites on Wednesday night. However, this is a lot of points for an in-state rivalry, and the Mavs are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games as an underdog. The Mavericks have been competitive through seven games and are shooting the ball well enough to hang around in this spot.

The Spurs are slowly finding their footing, but it’s been a sloppy seven games overall, and they’re just 3-4 ATS on the season. Also a bounce-back spot for the Mavs after a horrible loss to the Kings. I’m going to grab the points with the Mavericks.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Rockets, lost to the Kings, and they play the Jazz next. The Mavs have won 3 of their last 4 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 112 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 112.3 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 25.2 points and 6.5 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 21.4 points and 3.4 rebounds. P.J. Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Naji Marshall is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 33.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.4 rebounds per game.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs beat the Jazz and Timberwolves, and they play the Kings next. The Spurs have won 19 of their last 23 games.

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 117.6 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 108.3 points on 48 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 25.7 points and 10.7 rebounds, while Dylan Harper is averaging 18.3 points and 5.3 assists. De’Aaron Fox is the third double-digit scorer, and Stephon Castle is dishing out 5 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free-throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 30.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.7 rebounds per game.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The Mavericks have lost 12 of their last 13 road games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Spurs have won each of their last six games against the Mavericks.
• The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last six night games against the Mavericks.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The underdogs have won five of the Mavericks’ last six games.
• The Spurs have lost 15 of their last 20 home games against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four home games following a home win.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Mavericks’ last nine games at Frost Bank Center have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Spurs’ last four home games against the Mavericks have gone OVER the total points line.

San Antonio Spurs Player Facts

• Dylan Harper ranks T3rd in the league for fast break points (35) this season.
• Julian Champagnie is one of only six qualified players to have made 2+ threes in every game this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Cooper Flagg rank 3rd amongst qualified players for steals + blocks per game (3.5) this season.
• P.J. Washington ranks T12th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (7.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Spurs rank T1st in the league for H2 win percentage this season (85.7%).
• The Spurs rank 1st for fast break points (146) this season.
• The Mavericks rank 4th in the league for field goal percentage this season (48.4%).
• The Mavericks rank T4th in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (16.6).

Randy Chambers's Pick: Mavericks +11.5