Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Player Prop Picks 3/17/25 NBA Picks

The Indiana Pacers (37-28) are set to face the Minnesota Timberwolves (39-29) on March 17, 2025, at Target Center in Minneapolis. The Pacers recently suffered a 126-119 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks, despite strong performances from Aaron Nesmith, who scored 30 points, Pascal Siakam with 26 points, and Tyrese Haliburton contributing 24 points along with 15 assists. 

The Pacers recently suffered a 126-119 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks, despite strong performances from Aaron Nesmith, who scored 30 points, Pascal Siakam with 26 points, and Tyrese Haliburton contributing 24 points along with 15 assists. Minnesota’s recent form and home-court advantage position them favorably for this matchup, while Indiana will aim to rebound and leverage their offensive strengths to challenge the Timberwolves.

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Aaron Nesmith Over 11.5 Points

Aaron Nesmith has been a consistent contributor to the Indiana Pacers during the 2024–25 NBA season. He’s averaging 11.2 points per game, with a field goal percentage of 48.4% and a three-point shooting percentage of 38.3%. Nesmith’s performance has been characterized by efficient shooting and reliable scoring. Nesmith has scored 11+ points in 7 of his last 10 games. He’s also coming off a monstrous 30-point performance against the Bucks. Nesmith keeps getting looks in this Pacers offense, and it looks like oddsmakers are slow to adjust his line. Let’s take advantage of this.

Tyrese Haliburton Over 9.5 Assists

Tyrese Haliburton has been a pivotal playmaker for the Indiana Pacers during the 2024–25 NBA season. Over 62 games, he has averaged 9.0 assists per game, ranking fourth in the league. Haliburton’s assist numbers have been bolstered by several standout performances. Notably, on March 16th, 2025, he recorded 15 assists alongside 24 points in a game against the Milwaukee Bucks. Halliburton has logged 9+ assists in the last 7 games. If you’ve been taking the over on Halliburton’s assist line over the last couple of weeks, you’ve been cashing. Let’s ride with what works. 

Jaden McDaniels Over 12.5 Points 

Jaden McDaniels has been a key contributor to the Minnesota Timberwolves during the 2024–25 NBA season. Over 68 games, he has averaged 12.6 points per game, with a field goal percentage of 48.1% and a three-point shooting percentage of 33.8%. In the past two months, McDaniels has elevated his performance, averaging 16.2 points, 7.5 rebounds, 2.8 assists, 1.6 steals, 1.0 blocks, and 1.4 three-pointers over 29 games. McDaniels’s consistent scoring and defensive versatility have been instrumental in the Timberwolves’ competitiveness this season. McDaniels has been utilized more in this Timberwolves offense as of late, and they have better results when he’s playing well. He’s scored 13+ points in 9 of his last 10 games. In what should be a high-scoring game, I expect McDaniels to have another solid night on the offensive side of the ball.