Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets Prediction 12/29/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Indiana Pacers and Houston Rockets meet Monday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers lost to the Celtics and Heat, and they play the Magic next. The Pacers have lost 26 of their last 32 games.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 109.2 points on 42.9 percent shooting and allowing 117.7 points on 47.6 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 23.5 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 18.4 points and 5.7 rebounds. Andrew Nembhard is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Nesmith is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 32.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets beat the Lakers and Cavs, and they play the Nets next. The Rockets have split their last 12 games.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 120.6 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 112.7 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 25.3 points and 5 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 23.2 points and 9.2 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 7 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 40 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Pacers have lost each of their last 15 night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Rockets have won each of their last nine home games following a home win.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road games against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

• The Pacers have won nine of their last 10 night games against the Rockets.
• The Rockets have lost four of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Pacers have covered the spread in four of their last five night games following a road loss.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Rockets’ last eight night games against the Pacers following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the Pacers’ last six road games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

• Kevin Durant is one of only seven players in the league to have recorded 4+ blocks in consecutive games this season.
• Reed Sheppard ranks 8th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.6) this season.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

• Aaron Nesmith is one of only nine qualified players to have made a three in every game this season.
• Bennedict Mathurin ranks 11th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for FT% (86.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (16.2).
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (75.7%).
• The Pacers rank 30th in the league for Q2 points per game this season (27.0).
• The Pacers rank 30th in the league for H1 points per game this season (55.0).

Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets Injury Report

The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet. Alperen Sengun is questionable.

The Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, and Isaiah Jackson. Ben Sheppard, T.J. McConnell, and Jay Huff are questionable.

Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets Prediction

The Pacers are getting healthier, but that hasn’t stopped the losses and failed covers from piling up. The Rockets finished the week strong with a couple of wins, and their defensive effort improved greatly in those games. If the Rockets take things seriously, this should be a blowout, as the Pacers are still struggling with consistency and healthy bodies. Thick number and there’s probably better options out there, but I’ll lean toward the Rockets if forced to pick.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Houston -14.5