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Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Prediction 3/21/25 NBA Picks
Pick details
Miami Heat (29-40) vs Houston Rockets (45-25)
March 21, 2025 at 08:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat +5.5 — Over/Under: 214
The Houston Rockets and the Miami Heat duke it out at the Kaseya Center on Friday night. Here’s a Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Pick.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets have been a team on the rise as they are now gunning for a ninth straight victory after outlasting the Magic in a 116-108 road win on Wednesday. Jalen Green led the team with 26 points, Alperen Sengun added 22 points with 12 rebounds and four assists, Fred VanVleet tallied 19 points while Tari Eason chipped in with 16 points, nine rebounds, four assists, and five steals. As a team, the Rockets shot 46 percent from the field and 11 of 35 from the 3-point line as they got off to a solid start and took a narrow lead into halftime. Before they dominated the third quarter by 32-20 to push the margin out to 16 points at one stage.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in terrible shape as they’ve lost 10 of their last 11 games overall. They will be hoping to snap an ugly nine-game losing streak after falling just short to the Pistons in a 116-113 loss on Wednesday. Bam Adebayo led the team with 30 points, nine rebounds, and eight assists, Tyler Herro added 29 points on 10 of 20 shooting while Duncan Robinson and Kel’el Ware each scored 14 points. As a team, the Heat shot 48 percent from the field and 10 of 32 from the 3-point line as they took the fight to the Pistons and led for most of the contest after taking an early 12-point lead. Only to go ice-cold and score just four points in the final 4:26 to allow the Pistons to run them down in another disappointing finish.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won each of their last nine night games against the Rockets.
- The Rockets have lost each of their last six night games at Kaseya Center.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against Heat teams that held a losing record.
- The Heat have covered the spread in six of their last seven games against the Rockets following a loss.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Rockets have won each of their last eight games.
- The Heat have lost each of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 night games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Rockets’ last four games as favorites has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Heat’s last four games against the Rockets following a home loss has gone OVER the total points line.
Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Rockets are going to be at full strength for this contest, while the Heat are still missing Nikola Jovic, and they have Andrew Wiggins listed as questionable with an ankle sprain. The Rockets come into this meeting as one of the hottest teams in the league, while the Heat have gone absolutely ice-cold to lose nine in a row. It’s not like the Heat have been completely horrible, as five of their last nine losses were by single digits. However, this line is short enough for me to take the Rockets to get the win and cover on the road.
