Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Prediction 12/18/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Golden State Warriors and Phoenix Suns meet Thursday in NBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors lost to the Timberwolves and Trail Blazers, and they’ll play the Suns next. The Warriors have lost 8 of their last 12 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 114.4 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 113.2 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 29.6 points and 3.9 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 19.1 points and 5 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer, and Brandin Podziemski is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 81.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.1 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns lost to the Thunder and Lakers, and they play the Warriors next. The Suns have lost 6 of their last 9 games.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 114.8 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 114.5 points on 47.9 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 25.1 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Dillon Brooks is averaging 21.6 points and 3 rebounds. Grayson Allen is the third double-digit scorer and Jalen Green is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

• The Suns have won each of their last seven home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Warriors have lost eight of their last nine night games at Mortgage Matchup Center.
• The Suns have covered the spread in each of their last seven home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Suns teams that held a winning record.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won seven of their last eight night games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Suns have lost each of their last three games at Mortgage Matchup Center.
• The road team has covered the spread in seven of the Warriors’ last eight games.
• The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three home games.

Total Points Facts

• Ten of the Warriors’ last 11 road games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the Suns’ last seven home games against the Warriors have gone OVER the total points line.

Phoenix Suns Player Facts

• Collin Gillespie ranks 14th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.7) this season.
• Royce O’Neale ranks 5th amongst qualified Forwards for three-pointers made per game (2.9) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Draymond Green is one of only nine qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (6.2) and assists (5.5) per game this season.
• De’Anthony Melton leads all Warriors players for steals per 36 minutes (3.2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Suns rank 2nd in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (17.3).
• The Suns rank 29th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.9%).
• The Warriors rank 30th in the league for Q1 points per game this season (26.3).
• The Warriors rank 30th for points in the paint per game (41.5) this season.

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Injury Report

Jalen Green is out for the Suns due to a hamstring injury. Isaiah Livers and Grayson Allen are questionable.

The Warriors will be without Al Horford and Pat Spencer.

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

I’m not sure what the Warriors have done to be favored on the road, but I’m not buying it. The Warriors have been one of the biggest disappointments up to this point, and 10 of their 14 losses have come on the road. The Warriors have also outright lost 5 of their last 8 games as a favorite. Yes, the Suns have had issues as well lately, but that’s been due to injuries. Booker is back in the mix, and there’s a chance Allen returns. The home team has won 7 of the last 10 games between the Warriors and Suns. Give me the bucket in a game the Suns could win outright.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Phoenix Suns +2.5