Pick details
| MATCHUP | Denver Nuggets | San Antonio Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 53-28 | 62-19 |
| Spread | +11.5 -115 | -11.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +390 | -520 |
| Total | Over 233.5 (-108) | Under 233.5 (-112) |
| Where | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX | |
| When | Sunday, April 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets beat the Thunder and Grizzlies. The Nuggets have won 14 of their last 16 games.
The Denver Nuggets are averaging 121.6 points on 49.4 percent shooting and allowing 116.8 points on 46.9 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 27.9 points and 12.9 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 25.5 points and 4.4 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Peyton Watson is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 39.6 percent from beyond the arc and 80.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs beat the Mavs and Trail Blazers. The Spurs have won 35 of their last 42 games.
The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 119.8 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 111.5 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 24.9 points and 11.6 rebounds, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 18.5 points and 6.2 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer, and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.5 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.5 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.1 rebounds per game.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Spurs have won 29 of their last 30 night games.
- The Nuggets have lost 16 of their last 19 road games against Spurs teams that held a winning record.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Frost Bank Center following a home win.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last four night games.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won each of their last 10 games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Spurs have lost each of their last seven Sunday night games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs following a win.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four home games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of the Spurs’ last six games as home favorites against the Nuggets have gone OVER the total points line.
- Fifteen of the Nuggets’ last 17 road games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (70.4%).
- The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for point differential per game this season (+8.5).
- The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (11.8).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (39.6%).
Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Injury Report
David Jones Garcia, Victor Wembanyama, and Stephon Castle are out for the Spurs.
Peyton Watson and Spencer Jones are out for the Nuggets.
Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
The Nuggets already announced that they’re sitting all of their key guys, which is interesting because they could fall to the fourth seed. However, the Spurs have no reason to play any of their guys either, with the second seed locked up. I’m not laying double-digit points with backups. The underdog has covered 7 of the last 8 games between the Nuggets and Spurs. Since November 20, 2022 the Nuggets are 10-2 ATS as a double-digit underdog. This is too many points for a battle of second- and third-stringers. Give me the Nuggets and the points.
Randy Chambers's Pick: Denver Nuggets +10.5
