Pick details
| MATCHUP | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 25-54 | 43-36 |
| Spread | +10.5 -105 | -10.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +425 | -575 |
| Total | Over 230.5 (-112) | Under 230.5 (-108) |
| Where | Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ | |
| When | Wednesday, April 8, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | KFAA-TV | |
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Clippers, beat the Lakers and play the Spurs next. The Mavs have lost 28 of their last 34 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.9 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 119 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.1 points and 4.5 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 15.3 points and 4.8 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game.
Phoenix Suns Betting Preview
The Phoenix Suns lost to the Rockets, beat the Bulls, and will play the Lakers next. The Suns have lost 9 of their last 13 games.
The Phoenix Suns are averaging 112.7 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 111.2 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 25.5 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Dillon Brooks is averaging 20.9 points and 3.7 rebounds. Jaylen Green is the third double-digit scorer, and Grayson Allen is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Phoenix Suns will win
- The Suns have won each of their last 10 night games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have lost 18 of their last 19 road games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Suns have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games against Mavericks teams that held a losing record.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Mavericks and Suns at Mortgage Matchup Center.
- The Suns have lost each of their last three night games.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Suns have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Mavericks’ last seven games as road underdogs following a road loss has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Suns’ last four games against Western Conference opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Suns rank 2nd in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (34.5%).
- The Suns rank 2nd in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (12.1).
- The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for free throw percentage this season (74.9%).
- The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.8).
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Injury Report
The Suns will be without Haywood Highsmith.
The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Caleb Martin, and Dereck Lively II. Daniel Gafford is doubtful. Marvin Bagley III and Brandon Williams are questionable.
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction
The Mavericks compete more than other tanking teams, but they fall apart defensively and aren’t covering numbers. I doubt playing on the end of a back-to-back helps. The Suns should be motivated after getting embarrassed by Durant and the Rockets last night. The Suns need a feel-good win heading into the play-in tournament. The Suns are 7-3 SU and ATS in the last 10 games against the Mavs. The Suns need a pick-me-up to feel good about themselves. It should come against a bad tanking team in Dallas. I’ll lay out the points.
Randy Chambers's Pick: Phoenix Suns -10.5
