Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 5/6/25 NBA Picks

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview 

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Lakers in five games and will play for the first time in six days. The Timberwolves have won 21 of their last 26 games since March 2. The Timberwolves haven’t lost a home game since March 19.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 107.4 points on 44.1 percent shooting and allowing 100.4 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 26.8 points and 8.4 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.6 points and 4.4 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 32.3 percent from beyond the arc and 76.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won each of their last seven home games.
• The Warriors have lost each of their last five games when playing with a rest disadvantage against the Timberwolves.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Western Conference Semifinals road games.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last six games at Target Center against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won 17 of their last 18 playoff games against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Timberwolves have lost three of their last four playoff games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as home favorites after winning as underdogs.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Mike Conley ranks 5th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (4.3) this season.
• Jaden McDaniels rank T8th in the league for total steals + blocks (184) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Jimmy Butler has recorded three career playoff triple-doubles.
• Buddy Hield ranks 11th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.9) this season.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report 

The Timberwolves will be without Rob Dillingham due to an ankle injury. Dillingham hasn’t played since April 11.

Gary Payton II is questionable for the Warriors with an illness. Payton missed game seven because of this issue. 

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Timberwolves should be favored as they’re at home with the rest advantage. The Timberwolves also have a massive size advantage which should give the smaller Warriors fits, similar to how it bothered the Lakers. However, this is a lot of points for an experienced Warriors team that’s coming off a big game seven win and rolling with rhythm. Who knows how the Timberwolves will look after a long layoff.

The Warriors have won the last three games against the Timberwolves. Also, this is the first time since January where the Warriors are underdogs of six or more points. Not enough respect being shown to the Warriors, who aren’t afraid of anybody with their veteran roster. Give me the points.