Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat Player Prop Picks 4/3/25 NBA Picks

The Memphis Grizzlies (44-32) will face the Miami Heat (34-41) on Thursday, April 3, 2025, at Kaseya Center in Miami. The Grizzlies, currently second in the Southwest Division, are looking to bounce back after a 134-125 loss to the Golden State Warriors but remain firmly positioned in the Western Conference standings. Meanwhile, the Miami Heat are riding a five-game winning streak, keeping their playoff hopes alive and looking to climb in the Eastern Conference standings.

Both teams are dealing with injuries. The Grizzlies will be without Vince Williams Jr. until at least April 5, and Brandon Clarke is out for the season. John Konchar and Zyon Pullin are both game-time decisions for April 3. The Heat face significant injury concerns as well, with Nikola Jovic, Kevin Love, Duncan Robinson, and Andrew Wiggins all sidelined until at least April 3. 

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Tyler Herro Over 23.5 Points

Miami Heat guard Tyler Herro has delivered an impressive performance during the 2024-25 NBA season. Over 72 games, he has averaged 23.7 points, 5.6 assists, and 5.2 rebounds per game, with a field goal percentage of 46.9%.  Notably, Herro was selected as an Eastern Conference reserve for the 2025 NBA All-Star Game, underscoring his significant impact this season.  His consistent scoring and playmaking abilities have been pivotal for the Heat’s performance throughout the season.​ We saw Tyler Herro’s scoring production slow down in the month of February and the start of March, but as of late, he’s picked it up. He’s scored 27+ points in 4 of his last 5 games. With Wiggins being sidelined for the Heat, Herro will have to continue to be their main scoring threat to keep Miami in games.

Jaren Jackson Over 19.5 Points

Jarren Jackson is averaging 22.4 points per game, ranking 23rd in the league, along with 5.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game. Jackson Jr. has maintained a field goal percentage of 49.3%, placing him 37th among NBA players. He’s been a money maker for me this season. He’s scored 20+ points in his last 4 games. With all the attention Ja Morant garners from defenses, it opens up quality scoring opportunities for guys like Jackson. 

Zach Edey Over 7.5 Points

Memphis Grizzlies center Zach Edey has had a solid rookie season, averaging 9.2 points, 7.7 rebounds, and 1.3 blocks per game over 61 appearances. He has maintained a field goal percentage of 57.5%.  Notably, Edey ranks among the top 15 in offensive rebounds, with 160 total offensive boards.  His consistent performance has contributed significantly to the Grizzlies’ frontcourt depth throughout the season.​ Oddsmakers have continued to set Edey’s point line too low. We’ve seen him score 8+ points in 7 of his last 10, and he has consistently put up double-digit points. Until odds makers adjust his line, let’s keep attacking the over in Edey’s points.

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above