Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 3/30/25 NBA Picks

Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks have been in a slump, as they've lost five of their last seven games overall. They will be hoping to avoid a fourth straight defeat after getting beaten by the Knicks in a 116-107 loss on Friday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with 30 points, nine rebounds and seven assists, Kyle Kuzma and Ryan Rollins each scored 20 points while Gary Trent Jr chipped in with 14 points off the bench. As a team, the Bucks shot 54 percent from the field and 13 of 33 from the 3-point line as they struggled from the start and scored just 19 points in the first quarter to trail by 19 points. They didn't put up much of a fight until the fourth quarter where they poured in 34 points. 

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

• The Bucks have won each of their last six home games against the Hawks after losing as favorites.
• The Hawks have lost four of their last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Bucks have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games against Southeast Division opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

• The Hawks have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Bucks following a loss.
• The Bucks have lost six of their last eight games as home favorites after losing as favorites.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Bucks' last five games.
• The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as home favorites after losing as favorites.

The Hawks are still missing Larry Nance Jr and Clint Capela, while the Bucks have ruled out Damian Lillard once again, but they have Giannis Antetokounmpo listed as probable for this one. These teams have already met four times this season with the series tied at 2-2 and the last three meetings have all been decided by eight points or fewer. The Bucks still open as slight favorites at home, but their offense looks like a mess these days. So, I am more comfortable going with the Hawks to come into town and sneak away with a narrow win in this spot.