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LA Lakers vs Miami Heat Prediction NBA Picks 12/4/24
Pick details
Miami Heat (9-10) vs LA Lakers (12-9)
December 4, 2024 at 07:30 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat -1 — Over/Under: 218.5
Los Angeles LakersÂ
The Los Angeles Lakers have been doing it tough as they’ve lost five of their last seven games overall and they will be hoping for a better effort after getting thrashed by the Timberwolves in a 109-80 road defeat on Monday. D’Angelo Russell led the team in scoring with 20 points and five assists on eight of 12 shooting, Anthony Davis added 12 points with 11 rebounds and five assists while LeBron James chipped in with just 10 points, eight rebounds, and four assists. As a team, the Lakers shot just 40 percent from the field and a miserly six of 31 from the 3-point line as they struggled to find their offense from the start and fell behind by 12 points going into halftime. Things only got worse in the second where the Lakers scored just 36 points to get blown out in the end. James shot just four of 16 from the field and no bench player scored more than five points.Â
Miami HeatÂ
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in decent shape as they’ve won four of their past seven games overall, but they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after getting routed by the Celtics in a 108-89 road defeat on Monday. Tyler Herro led the team with 19 points, Jaime Jacquez Jr added 19 points with 10 rebounds and three assists, Bam Adebayo tallied 15 points with eight rebounds and five assists while Haywood Highsmith chipped in with 10 points and five assists. As a team, the Heat shot just 35 percent from the field and eight of 35 from the 3-point line as they struggled against the Celtics’ defense and never looked in the contest after falling behind by 15 points going into halftime. In fact, the Heat scored just 18 points in the third quarter to trail by as many as 27 points before they rallied late to keep the final scores somewhat respectable.Â
Why the Los Angeles Lakers will win
- The Lakers have won 10 of their last 11 night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Heat have lost five of their last six games at Kaseya Center against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in 26 of their last 31 home games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last three games between the Lakers and Heat.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Lakers’ last six games against Southeast Division opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
- Fourteen of the Heat’s last 16 games against Pacific Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
LA Lakers vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Lakers are still missing a few players including Austin Reaves and Jaxson Hayes, while the Heat are keeping an eye on Jimmy Butler, Kevin Love, and Josh Richardson who are all listed as day-to-day. This is definitely a game where you want to check the lineups before tipoff, but assuming that the Heat are missing a couple of players, I am leaning towards the Lakers to take advantage and get the win as the slight underdogs here. You really couldn’t back either side with too much confidence these days, but the Lakers need a win and I think they get it against this stumbling Heat team.