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Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction 3/17/25 NBA Picks

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New York Knicks (42-24) vs Miami Heat (29-38)

March 17, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Knicks -7.5 — Over/Under: 212

(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and the New York Knicks collide at Madison Square Garden on Monday night. Here’s a Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat have been in a major slump as they’ve lost eight of their last nine games overall. They will be hoping to arrest a seven-game slide after getting mauled by the Grizzlies in a 125-91 road defeat on Saturday. Kel’el Ware led the team with 19 points and 11 rebounds, Bam Adebayo added 18 points with six rebounds while Kyle Anderson and Jaime Jacquez Jr scored 13 points each but no other player scored more than eight points. As a team, the Heat shot just 39 percent from the field and nine of 37 from the 3-point line as they struggled from the start and fell behind by 15 points at halftime. Things got even worse in the second half where the Grizzlies ran up the score to smash them by 34 points in the end. Tyler Herro had a rough game of just eight points on three of 12 shooting while Duncan Robinson finished scoreless.

New York Knicks Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the New York Knicks have been in a rut as they’ve lost four of their last six games overall. They will be hoping to bounce back after coming up just short to the red-hot Warriors in a 97-94 road defeat on Saturday. Karl-Anthony Towns led the team with 29 points, 12 rebounds, and three assists, OG Anunoby added 23 points with nine rebounds and three steals while Mikal Bridges and Miles McBride each scored 19 points, but no other player scored more than two points. As a team, the Knicks shot just 43 percent from the field and nine of 24 from the 3-point line as they showed plenty of fight in this one to overcome a nine-point fourth-quarter deficit. Only to see the Warriors use a pivotal 8-1 run to slip away in the end. 

Why the New York Knicks will win

  • The Knicks have won each of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Heat have lost each of their last seven games.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games.
  • The Knicks have covered the spread in six of their last eight games as favorites following a loss.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won each of their last three road games against Atlantic Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Knicks have lost five of their last six night games against Heat teams that held a losing record.
  • The Knicks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven night games at Madison Square Garden.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last three road games against Atlantic Division opponents following a loss.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Heat’s last five games against Eastern Conference opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Knicks’ last five home night games following a road loss has gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction

The Heat are still shorthanded with Alec Burks ruled out, and Andrew Wiggins listed as questionable, while the Knicks have ruled out Jalen Brunson once again. If you haven’t noticed already, the Heat has been playing well below the level that we’re used to seeing from them, and they must be low on confidence after getting smashed by 34 points in their last outing. The Knicks have expectedly struggled since losing Brunson to that nasty ankle sprain, but they were more than competitive in their narrow loss to the surging Warriors in their last game. The Heat could surprise me and pull off the upset here, but I doubt it. The Knicks are the better team, they are healthier, and they should have no trouble running past this Heat squad at home.

Peter Tran's Pick: New York -7.5

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