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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 3/17/25 NBA Picks

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Golden State Warriors (39-28) vs Denver Nuggets (43-25)

March 17, 2025 at 10:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Golden State Warriors -5 — Over/Under: 236.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors meet Monday in NBA action at the Chase Center. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets beat the Lakers, lost to the Wizards, and they play the Trail Blazers, Rockets, and Bulls next. The Nuggets have won 15 of their last 21 games and are fighting for the second seed in the West. 

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 121.2 points on 50.7 percent shooting and allowing 116.8 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29 points and 12.9 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.4 points and 3.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Braun is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.2 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview 

The Golden State Warriors beat the Knicks and Kings, and they play the Bucks, Raptors, and Hawks next. The Warriors are 14-2 since trading for Jimmy Butler. The Warriors haven’t lost a home game since January 31. 

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 113.8 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 111.2 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 24.3 points and 6.1 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 16.8 points and 5.8 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer and Buddy Hield is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 75.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

  • The Warriors have won each of their last seven games.
  • The Nuggets have lost four of their last five road games against Pacific Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Warriors have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 home games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Pacific Division opponents.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last nine road games following a home loss.
  • The Warriors have lost eight of their last nine games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 road games following a home loss.
  • The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games following a win.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Warriors are one of only three teams to win a game when trailing by 20+ points after Q1 this season.
  • The Warriors rank 28th in the league for Q1 points per game this season (26.8).
  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goal percentage this season (50.7%).
  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (31.8).

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Injury Report 

The Warriors won’t have Brandin Podziemski due to a back injury. Quinten Post and Stephen Curry are questionable. 

The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II and Julian Strawther. Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, and Nikola Jokic are questionable. 

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Right when it looked like the Nuggets were turning the corner, they dropped three of their last five games, which included a horrendous home loss to the Wizards. The Nuggets are also just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. The Warriors have been a different team since the Jimmy Butler trade, and they’ve won nine of their last 10 games. The Warriors haven’t lost a home game in a month and a half. I’m not eager to step in front of the Warriors given their current form. However, there are a lot of major names on this injury report, so check for updates before betting. Still, at the time of this writing, I’ll lay the points with the Warriors.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Golden State Warriors -5

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