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Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 3/17/25 NBA Picks

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Minnesota Timberwolves (39-29) vs Indiana Pacers (37-29)

March 17, 2025 at 08:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5 — Over/Under: 230.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Indiana Pacers pay a visit to the Minnesota Timberwolves at the Target Center on Monday night. Here’s an Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include an Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers have been in a rut as they’ve lost four of their last six games overall and they will be hoping to bounce back here after getting beaten by the Bucks in a 126-119 road defeat on Saturday. Aaron Nesmith led the team with 30 points on 11 of 16 shooting, Pascal Siakam added 26 points with seven rebounds and two blocks while Tyrese Haliburton chipped in with 24 points, 15 assists, and five steals. As a team, the Pacers shot 47 percent from the field and 17 of 43 from the 3-point line, but they could do little to contain the Bucks who poured in 38 points in the first quarter. Another 35 points in the third quarter had the Pacers trailing by as many as 21 points. TJ McConnell had a quiet game of just four points on two of eight shooting while Ben Sheppard finished scoreless. The Pacers will face the Mavs, Nets (b2b set), Timberwolves, and Lakers following this one.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been on a tear as they are now gunning for an eighth straight victory after blowing past the Jazz in a 128-102 home win last night. Anthony Edwards led the way with 41 points on 16 of 27 shooting, Jade McDaniels added 20 points with 12 rebounds and two blocks while Donte DiVincenzo chipped in with 11 points and seven assists. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 49 percent from the field and 14 of 43 from the 3-point line as they dominated from the start and outscored the Jazz by 34-20 in the first quarter. They just kept piling on the points, scoring another 37 points in the third quarter to blow out the Jazz and allow them to rest their starters early. 

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

  • The Timberwolves have won each of their last seven games following a win.
  • The Pacers have lost each of their last five games against Timberwolves teams that held a winning record.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last five games against the Pacers.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Pacers have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Timberwolves have lost each of their last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Pacers.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Pacers have covered the spread in six of their last seven games at Target Center following a loss.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Pacers’ last 10 games as road underdogs following a road loss has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the last four games between the Pacers and Timberwolves has gone UNDER the total points line.

Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Pacers could be shorthanded with Tyrese Haliburton, Myles Turner, and Aaron Nesmith all listed as questionable, while the Timberwolves should be at full strength with Mike Conley returning to the lineup after resting last night. This is definitely one of those games where you should check the lineups before tipoff given the injury cloud hanging over the Pacers. With that being said, the Timberwolves are playing some of their best basketball of the season. They were able to rest their starters early last night, and I think they get the win and cover against what could be a depleted Pacers squad.
 

Peter Tran's Pick: Minnesota -7.5

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