Oklahoma City Thunder vs Detroit Pistons Prediction 3/15/25 NBA Picks

Detroit Pistons (37-30) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (54-12)

Game Info: Saturday, March 15, 2025 at 7:00 pm (Little Caesars Arena)

Betting Odds: Detroit Pistons +6.5 -- Over/Under: 234.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: FanDuel SN DET

The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Detroit Pistons duke it out at Little Caesars Arena on Saturday night. Here’s an Oklahoma City Thunder vs Detroit Pistons Prediction. This article will include an Oklahoma City Thunder vs Detroit Pistons Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been in red-hot form as they've won eight of their last nine games overall and they must be full of confidence after taking down the surging Celtics in a 118-112 road win on Wednesday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 34 points and seven assists on 11 of 20 shooting, Chet Holmgren added 23 points with 15 rebounds while Cason Wallace chipped in with 14 points. As a team, the Thunder shot 48 percent from the field and 13 of 37 from the 3-point line as they traded baskets with the Celtics in a close contest that could've gone either way. Until the Thunder were able to go on a pivotal 8-0 run midway through the fourth quarter to start to pull away.

Detroit Pistons Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons have been in fine form as they've won 12 of their last 17 games overall, but they will be hoping to bounce back after coming up just short to the lowly Wizards in a 129-125 home defeat on Thursday. Cade Cunningham tried his best to carry the team with 38 points and 10 assists, Jalen Duren added 18 points with 14 rebounds and one block while Tobias Harris chipped in with 14 points, six rebounds, and three assists. As a team, the Pistons shot 45 percent from the field and 10 of 30 from the 3-point line as they fought hard to reclaim the lead after trailing by 12 points. Only to get stunned in the final possessions as the Wizards closed the final 1:17 on an 8-2 run to snatch the game away at the end. Tim Hardaway Jr had a quiet game of just 10 points on three of 11 shooting while Cunningham shot just nine of 25 from the field and zero of seven from the 3-point line. 

Why the Detroit Pistons will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the last three games between the Thunder and Pistons at Little Caesars Arena.
  • The Thunder have lost each of their last three road games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Pistons have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games following a loss.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last 11 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Pistons have lost 25 of their last 26 games as home underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as home underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pistons rank 2nd for fast break points (1298) this season.
  • The Pistons rank 2nd for fast break points per game (19.4) this season.
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.6).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (11.8).

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Detroit Pistons Prediction

The Thunder are going to be missing some players for this meeting with Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren ruled out, and Aaron Wiggins listed as questionable, while the Pistons still have a full squad except for the injured Jaden Ivey. The Thunder open as obvious favorites in this one even though they are missing some players, and it's hard to argue after they just took down the Celtics. The Pistons are coming into this game fresh off an ugly loss to the lowly Wizards, but it wouldn't shock me if they were able to bounce back and pull off the upset at home. With that being said, the bookies aren't giving the Pistons enough points with this spread, so I will stick with the more consistent Thunder to get the win and cover on the road.

Peter’s Pick Oklahoma City -6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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