Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 3/10/25 NBA Picks

Oklahoma City Thunder (53-11) vs Denver Nuggets (41-23)

Game Info: Monday, March 10, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Paycom Center)

Betting Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder -9 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: NBA TV

The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Monday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets beat the Suns, lost to the Thunder, and they play the Timberwolves, Lakers, and Wizards next. The Nuggets have won 13 of their last 17 games and are fighting with the Lakers for the second seed in the West.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 121.2 points on 50.7 percent shooting and allowing 116.5 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.9 points and 12.9 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.4 points and 3.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Braun is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.9 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Nuggets and Trail Blazers, and they play the Celtics, Pistons, and Bucks next. The Thunder are 16-2 in their last 18 games and are a game behind the Cavs for the best record in the NBA. 

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 119.6 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 106.6 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.8 points and 6.2 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21.4 points and 5.5 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 11.3 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 82.7 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last six night games.
  • The Nuggets have lost four of their last five games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in five of their last six games.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last nine road games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Thunder have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games against Northwest Division opponents.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Nuggets.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.6).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (11.8).
  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goal percentage this season (50.7%).
  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (31.8).

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report 

The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic.

The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II. Aaron Gordon is questionable with a calf after getting hurt yesterday. 

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

I like the way the Nuggets are playing and they’re a team I’ll have a future bet on come playoff time. I gave the Nuggets a look yesterday and they burned me. While it’s not easy to beat the same team in back-to-back days, I learned my lesson. Betting against OKC isn’t profitable. The Thunder were one of the best cover teams in the NBA last year and their cover percentage of 66.67 this season is the best in the league. Blindly backing the Thunder all season increases the bankroll. That's all why we're here. The Nuggets may also be without Gordon after he left yesterday's game. I’ll lay the points with the Thunder.

Randy’s Pick Oklahoma City Thunder -9

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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