Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 3/9/25 NBA Picks

Dallas Mavericks (32-32) vs Phoenix Suns (29-34)

Game Info: Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 3:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks +7.5 -- Over/Under: 228.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ABC

The Phoenix Suns pay a visit to the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center on Sunday afternoon. Here’s a Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns have been doing it tough as they've lost nine of their last 12 games overall. They will be hoping for a better result after coming up just short of the Nuggets in a 149-141 overtime road defeat on Friday. Devin Booker led the team with 34 points, six rebounds, and seven assists, Kevin Durant added 29 points with nine rebounds and five assists while Nick Richards and Mason Plumlee scored 18 points each. As a team, the Suns shot 56 percent from the field and 16 of 38 from the 3-point line as they worked hard to erase a 21-point lead to force overtime. Only to go cold at the start of overtime to allow the Nuggets off the hook. 

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been in a real slump as they've lost six of their last seven games overall. They will be hoping to avoid a fifth straight defeat after getting routed by the Grizzlies in a 122-111 loss on Friday. Brandon Williams led the team with 31 points and six assists off the bench, Naji Marshall added 29 points with 17 rebounds while Klay Thompson chipped in with 15 points. As a team, the Mavericks shot just 38 percent from the field and 15 of 41 from the 3-point line as they caught fire with 41 points in the third quarter to take an 11-point lead. However, they went ice-cold and got outscored by 33-17 in the fourth quarter to lose by double digits in the end. 

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won each of their last nine games at American Airlines Center against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Suns have lost each of their last six road games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as road favorites.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last four games.
  • The Suns have won four of their last five day games following a road loss.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games.
  • The road team has covered the spread in five of the Mavericks' last six games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mavericks rank 4th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (35.7).
  • The Mavericks rank 4th in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (56.3%).
  • The Suns rank 29th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.2).
  • The Suns rank 29th for points in the paint per game (42.0) this season.

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Suns are still slightly shorthanded with Monte Morris ruled out, while the Mavericks are missing a host of players including Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis, Daniel Gafford, and PJ Washington to name a few. The Suns could really do with a win just to get some confidence back in the squad, especially after losing in overtime in their last game. I like their chances against this ice-cold Mavericks team who are missing almost all of their best players. Perhaps the Suns shouldn't be favored by so many points given their lack of recent form, but at least the Suns have the major edge in scoring, especially if they keep a lid on someone like Klay Thompson. 

Peter’s Pick Phoenix -7.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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