Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3/7/25 NBA Picks

Denver Nuggets (40-22) vs Phoenix Suns (29-33)

Game Info: Friday, March 7, 2025 at 10:00 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -7.5 -- Over/Under: 237.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN

The Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets meet Friday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview 

The Phoenix Suns lost to the Timberwolves, beat the Clippers, and they play the Mavs, Grizzlies, and Rockets next. The Suns have lost 11 of their last 15 games and are now 2.5 games out of a play-in spot. 

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 113.9 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 116 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.7 points and 6 rebounds, while Devin Booker is averaging 26 points and 4 rebounds. Bradley Beal is the third double-digit scorer and Grayson Allen is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 80.6 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.7 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets beat the Kings, lost to the Celtics, and they play the Thunder, Timberwolves, and Lakers next. The Nuggets have split their last six games and are fighting with the Lakers for the second seed in the West. 

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 121 points on 50.7 percent shooting and allowing 115.9 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.9 points and 12.7 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.4 points and 3.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Braun is grabbing 5.2 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last 12 games at Ball Arena against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Suns have lost 12 of their last 13 games at Ball Arena following a home win.
  • The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games at Ball Arena against teams that held a losing record.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

  • The Nuggets have lost each of their last three games following a win.
  • The Suns have won four of their last five games against the Nuggets after winning as underdogs.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games following a win.
  • The Suns have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Nuggets after winning as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (31.6).
  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.7).
  • The Suns rank 29th for points in the paint per game (41.8) this season.
  • The Suns rank 28th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (9.1).

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report 

The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II. Nikola Jokic and Aaron Gordon are questionable for the Nuggets.

The Suns will be without Cody Martin, while Bradley Beal is questionable.

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

I’m not excited to lay chalk with the Nuggets when I see Jokic and Gordon on the injury report. However, I’ve been fading the Suns all year and that’s not going to stop now. The Suns aren’t good and they have a 36 percent cover percentage. Only the 76ers are worse at covering games this season. The winner between the Suns and Nuggets has covered the spread in each of the last 10 games. Check the injury report before betting to make sure Jokic plays, but I’m fading the Suns regardless. Give me the Nuggets.

Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets -7.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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