Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 3/3/25 NBA Picks

Dallas Mavericks (32-29) vs Sacramento Kings (31-28)

Game Info: Monday, March 3, 2025 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks -1.5 -- Over/Under: 231.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: KFAA-TV

The Sacramento Kings and Dallas Mavericks meet Monday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview 

The Sacramento Kings beat the Rockets and Jazz, and they play the Nuggets, Spurs, and Clippers next. The Kings have won six of their last eight games, possibly their best stretch of the season as they fight for a playoff spot.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 116.8 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 115.4 points on 46.7 percent shooting. DeMar DeRozan is averaging 22 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Zach LaVine is averaging 22.6 points and 4 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Malik Monk is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 80.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 37.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview 

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Hornets, lost to the Bucks, and they play the Bucks, Grizzlies, and Suns next. The Mavs have lost three of their last four games and just allowed 132 points to the Bucks. 

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 115 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 113.4 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 26 points and 7 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 25 points and 4.9 rebounds. Max Christie is the third double-digit scorer and PJ Washington is grabbing 8.1 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won each of their last eight games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
  • The Kings have lost four of their last five road games after winning as underdogs.
  • The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games after winning as underdogs.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

  • The Kings have won nine of their last 10 night games against Southwest Division opponents.
  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last six Monday night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Kings have covered the spread in 13 of their last 15 night games at American Airlines Center.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games at American Airlines Center against Kings teams that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mavericks rank 4th in the league for Q4 points per game this season (28.6).
  • The Mavericks rank 4th in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (57.4%).
  • The Kings rank 28th in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (14.5).
  • The Kings rank 5th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (10.2).

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report 

The Mavs will be without Dereck Lively II, Daniel Gafford, Anthony Davis, Dwight Powell, PJ Washington, and Caleb Martin.

The Sacramento Kings will be without Domantas Sabonis due to a hamstring injury.

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Sacramento Kings have won three straight games so maybe this is them finally turning the corner. Unfortetly, we’ve seen so much inconsistent ball that it’s going to take more than a decent week to convince anybody. The Kings are also 22-34-3 ATS on the season. The Mavs have been at their best at home where they have 19 wins on the season. The Mavs should also have revenge on their mind after losing to the Kings at home in overtime less than a month ago. The line is reasonable. If it wasn’t, maybe I’d consider the Kings. I’ll lay the bucket with the Mavericks at home.

Randy’s Pick Dallas Mavericks -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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